Sales Decline Slightly While Listings Drop Sharply Across the Greater Toronto Area
The Greater Toronto Area housing market in February 2026 continued to reflect the complex transition period that began in late 2024. While home sales remained below levels seen a year ago, the supply of new listings fell even faster. This shift in market dynamics is gradually tightening overall market conditions, although prices are still under pressure compared to last year.
According to the February 2026 market statistics, there were 3,868 residential transactions recorded across the GTA, representing a 6.3 percent decline compared to February 2025. Despite this decrease in sales activity, the market experienced a significantly larger drop in new listings, which fell 17.7 percent year-over-year to 10,705 properties.
This imbalance between sales and new listings has important implications for the market. While buyers still enjoy considerable choice compared to the pandemic-era boom years, the pace at which new supply is entering the market has slowed noticeably. As a result, overall inventory levels declined slightly compared to last year.
Active listings at the end of February totaled 19,314 homes, down 2.4 percent from the same time last year. With sales activity at current levels, this represents approximately five months of inventory, which is generally considered a balanced market leaning slightly toward buyers.
Home Prices Continue to Ease
Home prices in the GTA continued to show downward pressure compared to the previous year. The average selling price across all home types in February 2026 was $1,008,968, which represents a 7.1 percent decline year-over-year.
Similarly, the MLS Home Price Index benchmark price, which measures price trends while controlling for changes in the mix of homes sold, also showed a decline. The composite benchmark price reached $938,800 in February, representing a 7.89 percent decrease compared to February 2025.
The decline in benchmark prices confirms that the price changes are not simply the result of more lower-priced homes selling. Instead, it reflects a broader adjustment in home values across the market.
Despite these year-over-year declines, prices have remained relatively stable compared to late 2025 levels, suggesting that the market may be approaching a stabilization phase after the volatility experienced during the interest-rate tightening cycle.
Detached Homes Remain the Largest Segment of the Market
Detached homes continued to represent the largest share of transactions across the GTA housing market.
In February 2026:
Detached homes recorded 1,683 sales, with an average price of $1,325,654
Semi-detached homes recorded 336 sales, averaging $1,027,376
Freehold townhouses recorded 369 sales, averaging $930,779
Condominium townhouses recorded 329 sales, averaging $748,500
Condominium apartments recorded 1,088 sales, with an average price of $626,650
Detached homes remain the most sought-after property type, particularly among move-up buyers and families seeking larger living spaces. However, affordability challenges continue to push many buyers toward townhouses and condominium units.
The condominium apartment market, in particular, continues to play a critical role in maintaining transaction volume, representing the second-largest category of sales across the region.
Condo Market Under Pressure
The condominium sector has experienced some of the most noticeable price declines in the GTA market over the past year.
Benchmark data shows that apartment-style condominium prices fell approximately 9.5 percent year-over-year, making this segment one of the most impacted by the broader housing correction.
Several factors are contributing to the weakness in the condo market:
• Higher interest rates reducing investor demand
• Increased new condominium supply entering the market
• Higher carrying costs for investment properties
• Slower population growth compared to the immediate post-pandemic rebound
However, condos remain an essential entry point for first-time buyers, and affordability improvements could eventually bring more buyers back into this segment.
Regional Market Breakdown
Market conditions varied across the different regions within the Greater Toronto Area.
Toronto
The City of Toronto recorded 1,491 sales in February, with an average price of $1,019,144. Inventory levels were relatively balanced, with approximately five months of supply.
York Region
York Region recorded 683 sales, with an average price of $1,133,471. Inventory levels were slightly higher than Toronto, suggesting somewhat softer conditions.
Peel Region
Peel Region saw 706 transactions, with an average price of $933,616. The region continues to attract buyers seeking more affordable options relative to Toronto.
Durham Region
Durham recorded 454 sales, with an average price of $850,304. Interestingly, Durham had the lowest inventory levels among major regions, with roughly 3.5 months of supply, indicating comparatively tighter market conditions.
These regional differences reflect variations in affordability, commuting patterns, and local housing supply.
Market Balance: Buyers Still Hold Some Advantage
With five months of inventory across the GTA, the market remains relatively balanced, although buyers continue to maintain some negotiating leverage.
The average sale-to-list price ratio was approximately 97 percent, indicating that most properties are selling slightly below asking price.
Additionally, homes are taking longer to sell compared to the previous year. The average listing days on market reached 36 days, while the average property days on market reached 54 days.
These longer selling times highlight the more cautious behavior of buyers, who now have more time to evaluate properties and negotiate prices.
What This Means for Buyers
For buyers, the February 2026 market offers several advantages compared to the highly competitive markets of recent years.
Buyers currently benefit from:
• Increased property selection
• More time to evaluate options
• Greater negotiating power
• Reduced bidding competition
However, affordability remains a challenge, particularly for detached homes and larger properties. Mortgage rates, income growth, and economic confidence will continue to play important roles in determining buyer activity through the remainder of the year.
What This Means for Sellers
For sellers, realistic pricing and strategic marketing are now more important than ever.
In today’s market:
• Overpriced homes tend to remain on the market longer
• Well-priced properties still attract strong interest
• Professional marketing can significantly improve results
• Pricing strategy often determines whether a home sells quickly or sits on the market
Sellers who understand current market conditions and price their homes competitively can still achieve successful outcomes.
Outlook for the GTA Housing Market
Looking ahead, several factors will shape the direction of the GTA housing market in 2026.
Key influences include:
• Interest rate policy from the Bank of Canada
• Population growth and immigration levels
• New housing supply entering the market
• Employment and economic conditions
• Consumer confidence among buyers
If listing supply remains limited while demand stabilizes, the market could gradually move toward tighter conditions later in the year. However, any significant changes in borrowing costs or economic conditions could alter that trajectory.
For now, the February data suggests that the GTA housing market remains in a period of adjustment, balancing slower sales activity with declining supply levels.
About the Author
Sami Chowdhury
Broker
RE/MAX Realtron Realty Inc., Brokerage
885 Progress Ave, Suite 209
Toronto, ON M1H 3G3
📞 Direct: 647-725-0606
☎ Office: 416-289-3333
✉ Email: samichy@torontobase.com
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