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Build Canada Homes and Canada’s Housing Outlook Under Budget 2025: A Data-Driven Analysis

 Canada’s housing crisis has become one of the country’s most persistent economic and social challenges. Rising home prices, limited rental availability, and growing affordability pressures have pushed housing policy to the centre of federal decision-making. In response, the federal government announced Build Canada Homes (BCH) as a new national housing agency under Budget 2025, positioning it as a long-term supply solution.

In December 2025, the Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO) released an independent assessment of BCH and the broader outlook for federal housing programs. The report provides a rare, non-political evaluation of how much housing the new agency can realistically deliver, how it fits within federal fiscal plans, and what trade-offs accompany its introduction.

This article presents a comprehensive, fact-focused analysis of the PBO’s findings, explaining what Build Canada Homes is, how it is funded, how many homes it may add, and how it compares to Canada’s overall housing needs.


The Federal Housing Context Before Build Canada Homes

To understand Build Canada Homes, it is essential to examine the broader federal housing funding landscape in which it is being introduced.

According to the PBO, total planned federal spending on housing programs is projected to decline sharply over the next several years. Federal housing program expenditures are estimated to fall from approximately $9.8 billion in 2025–26 to $4.3 billion by 2028–29. This represents a 56% reduction in federal housing spending.

This decline is not the result of a single policy decision but rather the combined effect of:

  • The expiry of time-limited housing programs

  • Reductions announced under Budget 2025

  • A shift away from certain affordability supports toward capital-focused initiatives

The PBO makes it clear that Build Canada Homes does not reverse this downward spending trend. Instead, BCH operates within a shrinking overall housing budget.


What Is Build Canada Homes?

Build Canada Homes is a newly established federal housing delivery agency designed to play a more direct role in housing supply creation than previous federal programs.

The agency’s mandate includes three primary activities:

  1. Direct construction of housing

  2. Supporting construction projects through funding and financing

  3. Supporting housing acquisitions, particularly by non-profit and community housing providers

Unlike earlier programs that relied primarily on incentives or partnerships, BCH introduces a more hands-on federal presence in housing development.


Funding Structure of Build Canada Homes

Accrual vs. Cash Spending

The PBO distinguishes between two types of BCH spending:

  • Accrual-based spending, which reflects the economic cost of programs over time

  • Cash expenditures, which include loans, asset development, and upfront financing

Over the five-year period from 2025–26 to 2029–30, BCH is projected to incur approximately $7.3 billion in accrual spending, of which $6.7 billion is new funding.

When cash flows are included, total planned BCH expenditures rise to approximately $13.0 billion.

This distinction matters because cash spending figures may appear larger, but accrual spending better reflects the long-term fiscal impact.


Allocation of Build Canada Homes Funding

The PBO outlines how BCH’s accrual spending is allocated across program areas:

Canada Rental Protection Fund — $625 Million

This funding is intended to help non-profit housing providers acquire existing rental buildings that are at risk of:

  • Conversion to ownership

  • Renoviction

  • Significant rent increases

The goal is to preserve existing rental stock rather than create new units.

Transitional and Supportive Housing — $1.0 Billion

This portion of BCH funding supports housing for individuals and households with complex needs, including:

  • People experiencing homelessness

  • Individuals requiring supportive services

  • Transitional housing residents

These units typically serve households with incomes well below market levels.

Affordable Housing Grants, Contributions, and Loan Concessions — $5.4 Billion

The largest share of BCH funding is directed toward non-market and below-market housing supply, including:

  • Purpose-built rental housing

  • Community housing projects

  • Affordable housing developments led by public or non-profit entities

These funds are designed to lower project costs and improve feasibility rather than generate profit.


Estimated Housing Supply Impact of Build Canada Homes

One of the most important questions surrounding BCH is how many homes it will actually produce.

Using cost assumptions from comparable CMHC housing programs, the PBO estimates that BCH could support the construction or acquisition of approximately 25,700 housing units over five years.

This estimate covers the period from 2025–26 to 2029–30 and represents the total number of units across all BCH funding streams.


Contribution to National Housing Supply

When compared to overall housing construction levels, the PBO estimates that BCH would increase national housing completions by approximately 2.1% relative to its baseline forecast.

This figure is important for context. While 25,700 units is meaningful in absolute terms, it represents a modest increase relative to national construction volumes.


Build Canada Homes and the Long-Term Housing Gap

The PBO has previously estimated that Canada faces a housing gap of approximately 690,000 units by 2035 if affordability is to return to pre-pandemic levels.

Against this benchmark:

  • BCH’s estimated 25,700 units would address approximately 3.7% of the projected gap

This comparison highlights that BCH alone cannot resolve Canada’s housing shortage. Instead, it represents one component of a broader policy mix.


Affordability Breakdown of BCH-Supported Units

The PBO provides a detailed breakdown of the expected affordability levels of BCH-supported housing.

Based on its estimates:

  • Approximately 6,300 units would be affordable to very low-income households

  • Approximately 6,700 units would be affordable to low-income households

  • Approximately 1,600 units would target moderate-income households

  • Approximately 1,600 units would be affordable at median income levels

  • Remaining units include housing without specific affordability commitments

In total, roughly half of all BCH-supported units are expected to serve low-income or very low-income households.


Emphasis on Non-Market Housing

A key finding of the PBO report is that BCH funding is not primarily aimed at the private market.

Instead, the agency’s design favours:

  • Non-profit housing providers

  • Public or community housing entities

  • Projects with long-term affordability commitments

This distinguishes BCH from policies aimed at stimulating private market supply through zoning changes or tax incentives.


Shift Away From Short-Term Affordability Supports

Perhaps the most consequential insight in the PBO report concerns policy trade-offs.

As capital investment in BCH increases, several programs that provide immediate affordability relief to households are expiring or being reduced. These include:

  • The Canada Housing Benefit

  • Federal funding for existing social housing

  • Time-limited CMHC affordability programs

The PBO emphasizes that while supply-side investments improve housing availability over time, they do not replace income-based supports that help households manage housing costs in the short term.


Timing Mismatch Between Supply and Affordability

Housing construction takes years to plan, approve, and complete. As a result, BCH-supported units will enter the market gradually.

At the same time, reductions in household supports take effect immediately when programs expire. This creates a timing mismatch where affordability pressures may intensify before new supply becomes available.

The PBO highlights this as a key risk in the current policy approach.


Impact on CMHC and Program Capacity

The report also examines how Budget 2025 affects Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC).

According to the PBO:

  • Budget 2025 includes $2.4 billion in housing-related reductions between 2026–27 and 2029–30

  • Ongoing reductions of approximately $860 million per year are projected beyond that period

If CMHC’s existing social housing obligations are treated as non-discretionary, these reductions may limit funding for other housing initiatives.


Federal Role Versus Provincial and Municipal Action

While the PBO report focuses on federal programs, it implicitly reinforces a broader reality: housing supply is not controlled by Ottawa alone.

Land-use planning, zoning, development approvals, and infrastructure provision remain largely within provincial and municipal jurisdictions. As a result, BCH’s effectiveness will depend heavily on coordination with other levels of government.


What the Numbers Clearly Show

Based on the PBO’s analysis:

  • Build Canada Homes introduces a new federal delivery mechanism

  • The scale of BCH is limited relative to Canada’s housing shortage

  • Total federal housing spending is declining, not expanding

  • BCH prioritizes deep affordability, particularly for low-income households

  • Near-term affordability supports are being reduced as long-term supply programs ramp up


Final Assessment

The PBO’s evaluation of Build Canada Homes provides a clear, data-driven perspective on federal housing policy under Budget 2025. BCH represents a structural shift toward more direct federal involvement in housing supply, particularly in the non-market sector.

However, the numbers indicate that BCH is incremental rather than transformative. Its projected housing output is meaningful but modest, and it operates within a broader context of declining federal housing spending and reduced short-term affordability supports.

For policymakers, housing advocates, and market participants alike, the report underscores a fundamental reality: housing outcomes depend not only on how many homes are built, but also on who they serve, when they become available, and what supports remain in place for households today.


Ref:

Build Canada Homes and the Outlook for Housing Programs under Budget 2025: A new report by the Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO)

 


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Canada Adds 54,000 Jobs in November: What the New Numbers Mean for the Economy

Canada’s labour market delivered another surprise in November 2025, adding 54,000 new jobs and pushing the unemployment rate down to 6.5%, its lowest point in 16 months. This marks the third consecutive month of strong job growth, signalling a labour market rebound after months of sluggish performance.

In this analysis, we break down where the jobs came from, who benefited the most, and what this means for Canadians heading into the new year.


📉 Unemployment Rate Drops as Labour Market Tightens

Statistics Canada reported that unemployment decreased from 6.9% in October to 6.5% in November. Interestingly, this drop happened partly because 26,000 people left the labour force, which helped reduce the jobless rate.

Between September and November, Canada added a total of 181,000 jobs, defying economists' expectations of job losses amid economic uncertainty and U.S. tariff pressures.


📌 Where the Jobs Came From

Not all sectors contributed equally. According to StatCan, the biggest growth occurred in:

1️⃣ Health Care & Social Assistance (+46,000 jobs)

This sector led the gains, reflecting Canada’s ongoing need for healthcare workers and support professionals.

2️⃣ Accommodation & Food Services

Hospitality continued to recover as demand strengthened post-summer.

3️⃣ Natural Resources

Modest but meaningful growth supported by energy and mining activity.


📉 Sectors That Lost Jobs

Some industries weren’t as fortunate:

  • Wholesale & Retail Trade (-34,000 jobs)

  • Manufacturing also reported job losses — expected in a tariff-sensitive economic environment.


👥 Youth Employment Surges

A major driver of November’s job numbers: Canadian youth (15–24).

  • +50,000 youth jobs, building on another +21,000 in October.

  • The youth employment rate rose to 55.3%, recovering from a record low in July.

This is the first consistent youth employment growth in 2025 — a strong indicator that younger workers are finally re-entering the job market with better prospects.


💰 Wage Growth Remains Steady

Average hourly wages increased 3.6% in November, slightly above October’s growth rate. With inflation moderating, this suggests real wages may be slowly improving for many Canadians.


🏦 What This Means for the Bank of Canada

These numbers arrive just days before the Bank of Canada’s final interest rate decision of the year.
A tightening labour market typically signals economic strength, but wage growth and sector shifts may push the Bank to carefully balance inflationary risks.


📊 Final Thoughts: A Labor Market Rebound With Caveats

Canada’s job market is showing strong resilience:

✔ Consistent multi-month job gains
✔ Youth employment revival
✔ Strong hiring in essential sectors like health care

But challenges remain:

✖ Retail and manufacturing weakness
✖ High rates of involuntary part-time work
✖ Fewer people participating in the labour force

For workers, this could mean more opportunity in specific sectors — especially health and social services — while businesses may face tighter hiring conditions ahead.



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GTA Condo Market Summary – November 2025

 

Data-Driven Overview of Prices, Sales, DOM & Regional Trends

The Greater Toronto Area (GTA) condo resale market continued its slow, buyer-favoured pattern in November 2025, with sharp declines in sales activity, moderate price adjustments, and longer selling times across most regions. Both TRREB and third-party market summaries confirm that buyers remain cautious, even as interest rates trend downward and inventory stabilizes.


1. GTA-Wide Condo Performance (November 2025)

Sales activity dropped sharply, recording one of the steepest annual declines in the condo segment:

  • Total GTA condo sales: ~1,299 units (-21.7% YoY)

  • GTA average condo price: $663,290 (-3.8% YoY)

  • Average Days on Market (DOM): up 18% from the previous quarter

This decline in sales is more significant than the broader housing market’s -15.8% YoY drop in total GTA home sales.
However, prices have remained relatively stable, suggesting sellers are holding firm while buyers wait for better economic signals.

Source: TRREB Market Watch & TRREB Quick Market Overview Charts



2. 416 vs 905: Diverging Price Patterns

Toronto (416) Condo Market

Toronto carries the bulk of condo activity and continues to show better price resilience:

  • 416 condo sales: 880 units (-21.8% YoY)

  • 416 average price: ~$701,259 (-1.7% YoY)

Although sales volume dropped, prices dipped very modestly, partly due to strong demand in downtown and transit-centric neighbourhoods.


905 Region Condo Market

The 905 experienced much deeper price corrections:

  • 905 condo sales: ~419 units (-21.4% YoY)

  • 905 average price: ~$583,578 (-8.7% YoY)

Why the larger drop?

  • More investor-heavy buildings

  • Greater competition from new completions

  • Less stable location premiums compared to Toronto’s core

Summary:
416 = stability
905 = affordability + more price declines

Source: summary of TRREB November data


3. Days on Market Rising Across the GTA

TRREB’s Q3 and November data confirm a clear shift:

  • Condo DOM increased by ~18.2% quarter-over-quarter

  • Many units now sit 30–45+ days before receiving serious offers

  • Previously listed properties show high PDOM (60–90+ days)

This rise in market time gives buyers more leverage:

  • Easier negotiation

  • More conditional offers

  • Lower competition per listing

Source: TRREB Quick Market Overview



4. Price Context: Year-over-Year Movement

Here’s how November 2024 compares to November 2025:

Region

Avg Price 2024

Avg Price 2025

YoY Change

Toronto (416)

~$713K

~$701K

-1.7%

905 Region

~$640K

~$584K

-8.7%

GTA Overall

~$689K

~$663K

-3.8%

Interpretation:
Despite weaker activity, condo prices have not collapsed. Instead, they have reset modestly, especially in 416.
The 905 region—more sensitive to investor sentiment—experienced the largest adjustment.


5. Quarter 3 (2025) Context: Why November Looks the Way It Does

TRREB’s Q3-2025 condo report outlines the pattern leading into November:

  • 4,375 condo sales in Q3 (+2.5% YoY)

  • Average price: $649,168 (-6.4% YoY)

  • Toronto average: $677,095 (down from $713,678 in Q3-2024)

  • New listings: down 2.7% YoY

This suggests most of the price correction happened earlier in 2025, while November mainly reflects slower buyer sentiment rather than a new downturn.

Source: TRREB Q3 Condo Market Report


6. Macroeconomic Drivers: Rates & Jobs

Interest Rates

  • Bank of Canada lowered its policy rate to the 2.25%–2.75% neutral range by late 2025

  • Mortgage affordability improved slightly

  • But rate cuts alone did not boost sales, especially for condos

Sources: Reuters,

Employment

  • Toronto unemployment hovered around 7.8% in late 2025

  • Higher insecurity among first-time buyers → slower condo absorption

  • TRREB reinforced that employment confidence is essential for a 2026 market recovery

Sources: CREA, Toronto Employment Survey


7. City-by-City Snapshot (Summary Form)

Toronto

  • Strong rental demand supports pricing

  • Investor-heavy micro-markets still weak

  • Transit-connected areas remain stable (Downtown, Midtown, East End)

Mississauga (Peel)

  • Price softness in Square One high-rise cluster

  • Downsizer demand stable in Port Credit & Lakeview

  • Investors sensitive to rent levels vs carrying costs

Vaughan / Markham (York)

  • VMC & Highway 7 corridor remain active but layout/view premium is huge

  • Buyers comparing newer vs older towers aggressively

Pickering / Ajax / Whitby / Oshawa (Durham)

  • Best affordability in GTA

  • GO-station-adjacent condos outperform

  • Demand strongest among first-time buyers

Oakville / Burlington / Milton (Halton)

  • Boutique buildings stable

  • Larger units attractive to downsizers

  • Fewer transactions = more price volatility


8. Market Takeaways in One Look

Buyer Market Indicators

✔ Sales down sharply
✔ DOM up
✔ Price softness in 905
✔ More negotiation space

Seller Market Survival Tips

✔ Price based on 2025 sold data, not 2021 peaks
✔ Superior staging + photography required
✔ Be open to conditional offers
✔ Consider incentives (fee credits, flexible closings)

Investor Insights

✔ Resale value far stronger than pre-construction
✔ Urbanation shows pre-con sales at 35-year lows, making resale more appealing
✔ Cash-flow analysis more important than appreciation in short term

Source: Zoocasa.com


Final Summary

The November 2025 GTA condo market is defined by:

  • Lower sales, not collapsing prices

  • Tighter buyer psychology, driven by job concerns

  • Stable pricing in 416, deeper adjustments in 905

  • Rising DOM, increasing negotiation power

  • Strong value proposition in resale vs pre-construction

As we move into 2026, the key question will be buyer confidence—when interest rates, employment expectations, and affordability align, the condo market is positioned for a gradual rebound rather than a rapid recovery.


 


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📧 Email: samichy@torontobase.com
🌐 Web: www.torontobased.com | www.torontobase.ca

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GTA Real Estate Market Report – November 2025

Market Report – November 2025

Stability Beneath the Surface as Buyers Wait for Confidence to Return

November 2025 delivered a revealing snapshot of the Greater Toronto Area housing market. While year-over-year comparisons remain negative, the month-to-month trends suggest the market may be entering a stabilizing phase. This is a transition market—one where both opportunities and risks exist depending on how buyers and sellers approach it.

According to the latest Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) data, there were 5,010 home sales in November, a 15.8% decline from the 5,947 sales recorded in November 2024. New listings also declined slightly, coming in at 11,134, about 4 percent lower than a year ago. The average selling price across the GTA dipped to $1,039,458, down 6.4 percent year-over-year. These indicators continue to reflect a more cautious environment where many consumers remain on the sidelines.

However, a deeper look shows that November was not simply a repeat of the previous year’s slowdown. On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, both sales and prices held relatively steady. TRREB reports that the average selling price for November edged slightly higher compared to October, and the MLS® Home Price Index Composite showed only marginal movement. In other words, while the market is softer than last year, it is not weakening at the same pace—and may be starting to form a base.


A Market Defined by Hesitation, Not Withdrawal

One of the most important observations in TRREB’s November release is the emphasis on consumer confidence, or rather, the lack of it. Households are clearly interested in taking advantage of:

  • Lower borrowing costs

  • Reduced competition

  • Softer selling prices

But interest does not yet translate into action. Buyers remain hesitant due to lingering concerns about economic uncertainty, employment stability, and global trade developments. TRREB notes that encouraging employment news and improved economic indicators in November are positive signs, but meaningful shifts in consumer behaviour often lag behind such announcements.

This distinction matters. The market is not losing buyers permanently; it is simply delaying them. Once confidence improves, these sidelined buyers can re-enter the market quickly, creating a surge in activity. This suggests that 2026 has the potential for a more meaningful rebound—especially if interest rates remain stable or move slightly lower.


A Well-Supplied Market Offering Buyers More Leverage

The GTA continues to benefit from a healthy level of resale inventory. Homes are spending more time on the market than they did last year, giving buyers more choice and more negotiating room. Even as new listings were down compared to last year, the overall supply available is sufficient to avoid the kind of tight conditions that previously drove rapid price appreciation.

This environment means:

  • Buyers can take more time before making decisions.

  • Conditional offers (financing, inspection, status review) are being accepted more often.

  • Properties priced above market often sit without offers, reinforcing the need for accurate positioning and strategy.

TRREB cautions, however, that this balance may not last indefinitely. As existing inventory gets absorbed, new construction must play a larger role to keep the market supplied. If development slows or gets delayed—something Ontario has experienced in past cycles—the GTA could quickly swing back to tighter conditions.

For now, buyers who want more control and choice in their home search have an advantage they may not have in a year.


Segment Breakdown: The Gap Between Condos and Low-Rise Homes

The November data reinforces the traditional price hierarchy within the GTA:

  • Detached homes remain the most expensive, reflecting land scarcity and ongoing demand from move-up families and multi-generational households.

  • Townhouses and semi-detached homes sit in the middle, filling the critical “missing middle” segment where affordability and space intersect.

  • Condo apartments continue to be the most accessible ownership option for first-time buyers and investors.

TRREB highlighted the continued need for housing that bridges the gap between condominium apartments and traditional detached homes. Future demand will remain strong for stacked towns, urban towns, semis, and compact detached homes in transit-oriented areas. These property types offer an affordable pathway for buyers moving out of condos but not yet ready for higher-priced detached homes.

For agents and investors, this segment represents one of the most strategic opportunities going into 2026 and beyond.


Economic Signals Shaping 2026

November’s surprising economic resilience adds another layer of optimism. TRREB references:

  • Stronger-than-expected employment growth

  • Improved economic activity despite global trade pressures

  • Long-term benefits from major infrastructure projects

The combination of a stable job market and improving economic conditions can significantly influence buyer confidence. When consumers feel secure in their long-term financial outlook, they are more likely to make major decisions such as buying a home. If the current momentum continues, it could shift the housing market’s trajectory by early or mid-2026.

Government action also remains important. TRREB continues advocating for incentives to build more homes, emphasizing that increased housing supply directly supports affordability, economic growth, and market stability.


What This Market Means for Buyers, Sellers, and Investors

For Buyers

This period offers opportunities that were not available in previous years:

  • More inventory

  • Less competition

  • Greater negotiating flexibility

  • Reduced pressure to waive conditions

If you are planning to buy in 2026, the current environment may allow you to secure more value before demand intensifies again.

For Sellers

Success in today’s market requires strategy:

  • Pricing must reflect current market conditions, not the highs of 2021–2022 or early 2024.

  • Strong digital marketing—photography, video, targeted advertising—is essential to stand out.

  • Homes that present well and are priced correctly continue to attract strong interest.

Even in a balanced market, well-positioned properties still achieve excellent results.

For Investors

Opportunities exist in:

  • Transit-oriented condo markets

  • Properties with rental potential (e.g., basement units, duplex conversions)

  • Townhomes and semis in high-demand neighbourhoods

With softer prices and stable rents, disciplined investors can secure assets that perform well over the long term.


Conclusion: A Market in Transition, Not Decline

November 2025 confirms that the GTA real estate market is transitioning, not tumbling. Year-over-year figures reflect a slowdown, but month-over-month data shows early signs of stabilization. Buyers are cautious, but not absent. Sellers must adapt, but well-prepared listings continue to succeed.

The shift that will drive the next chapter is consumer confidence. As economic signals strengthen, the GTA is positioned for a gradual recovery—one that could accelerate quickly once sentiment improves.

If you would like a neighbourhood-level breakdown for your home, investment property, or buying plans, I can prepare a detailed analysis based on your specific location and goals.

Prepared by Sami Chowdhury, Broker
RE/MAX Realtron Realty Inc., Brokerage


End Notes & References

This GTA November 2025 Market Report is based on verified data published by the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB). All statistics, charts, and year-over-year or month-over-month comparisons referenced in this report were sourced directly from the official November 2025 Market Watch, Quick Market Overview Charts, and related TRREB publications.

For full details, Please click the follow links:

Official TRREB Market Watch – November 2025

Quick Market Overview Charts – TRREB

These resources provide comprehensive breakdowns of GTA sales, new listings, pricing trends, home types, and regional performance insights.

If you require a neighborhood-specific breakdown or customized real estate analysis for your property, please contact me directly for a personalized report.

 


🏡 Ready to Start Your Real Estate Journey?
Whether you're planning to buy, sell, or invest, I’m here to guide you every step of the way — surprises and all.

📈 Looking to capitalize on today’s changing market?
Explore a wide range of specialized listings with access to powerful tools and search portals tailored to your needs:

Stay ahead of the curve. Get the latest real estate news and insights right here.


📩 Need help navigating your options?
Reach out for expert advice and market insights:

Sami Chowdhury
BROKER
📧 Email: samichy@torontobase.com
🌐 Web: www.torontobased.com | www.torontobase.ca

Let’s make your next move a smart one.


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Lakeview Oshawa Real Estate Market Report – November 2025 

Lakeview Oshawa: November 2025 Market Overview

November 2025 was one of the most revealing months for the Lakeview neighbourhood in Oshawa. This lakeside community, once known mainly as a modest, working-class pocket, has now firmly established itself as one of the most strategic, affordability-focused micro-markets in the eastern GTA.

The November sales activity, covering transactions between November 1 and November 30, 2025, provides a clear snapshot of how buyers and sellers are behaving in this area. The data set drawn from your MLS-style reports includes a mix of semi-detached homes, detached bungalows, and 1½-storey houses, mostly freehold and all appealing to cost-conscious buyers.

Several key patterns stand out:

  • Most homes sold within days rather than weeks

  • Multiple properties achieved sale prices above their list price

  • Renovated or modernized homes attracted the strongest competition

  • Affordability, relative to nearby Durham and GTA markets, remained the dominant driver

Semi-detached homes, which make up a significant portion of Lakeview’s stock, led the way in both volume and price strength. Renovated semis, in particular, delivered standout performance because buyers increasingly lack the budget, time, or appetite for major post-purchase renovations. In a higher-rate environment, people want homes that are “move-in ready” from day one.

Despite the broader affordability challenges across Ontario and tougher qualification rules under the mortgage stress test (buyers must qualify at the greater of their contract rate plus two percent or 5.25 percent), Lakeview continues to outperform comparable entry-level markets. That resilience is rooted in several advantages:

  • Quick access to Highway 401 for commuters

  • Direct proximity to Lake Ontario, the Waterfront Trail, and multiple parks

  • Price levels that are still meaningfully below Pickering, Ajax, and Scarborough

  • Strong perception among first-time buyers that Lakeview is one of Durham’s most realistic entry points

The rest of this report breaks down November 2025 in depth—by property type, micro-neighbourhood, buyer motivations, seller strategy, and future outlook—so that buyers, sellers, and investors can make informed and confident decisions.


Sales Snapshot: What Sold in November 2025

Your November data set includes several representative transactions across different parts of Lakeview. To keep privacy intact, we’ll reference each property only by closest major intersection, not by address.

Semi-Detached Homes – Key Examples

Among the semi-detached homes, we saw:

  • A semi in the Cedar Street & Phillip Murray Avenue pocket selling in the low $600,000s after light competition

  • A semi near Stevenson Road South & Renaissance Drive selling in the high $570,000s with strong over-asking activity

  • A semi in the Cedar Street & Killarney Court area selling in the mid–$630,000s

  • Another semi near Cedar Street & Phillip Murray Avenue exceeding the $600,000 mark after upgrades and staging

  • A semi in an interior court near the Lakeview and Beaverbrook area selling near the mid–$640,000s, very close to asking

Although each property had its own features, these homes collectively defined the semi-detached segment for the month.

Detached Homes – Key Examples

Detached inventory was limited but instructive:

  • A bungalow near Ritson Road South & Conant Street sold around $575,000

  • A 1½-storey detached home near Simcoe Street South & Conant Street also sold for about $575,000

These two detached examples provide a baseline for understanding ceiling prices and buyer preferences in Lakeview’s older freehold stock.


Semi-Detached Homes: The Anchor of the Lakeview Market

Semi-detached homes are the core product in Lakeview and continue to set the tone for pricing and buyer expectations.

From your sample of semi-detached sales, prices ranged from the mid–$550,000s to the mid–$640,000s. When we average those results, Lakeview’s semi-detached homes in November 2025 land around $605,700.

That number matters for two key reasons:

  1. It’s significantly higher than what similar homes in this neighbourhood achieved just a few years ago, when many semis still traded below the $500,000 mark.

  2. It effectively defines the “price anchor” for the neighbourhood. Buyers now perceive the low $600,000s as a normal range for a good semi in Lakeview.

Why Semi-Detached Homes Outperformed

Several forces converged to make semis the star of the market.

1. Entry-Level Price Point With Real Space
Compared to buying a condo or stacked townhome, a semi in Lakeview offers a lot: three bedrooms, two or more baths, a private yard, and driveway parking. For buyers priced out of Ajax, Pickering, and even parts of Oshawa to the north, this combination of space and affordability is compelling.

2. Appeal to Commuters
Lakeview’s quick access to Highway 401, along with reasonable commuting times to Pickering, Scarborough, and downtown Toronto, makes the area attractive to working professionals. As GO Transit and regional transit talk progresses, buyers increasingly see Lakeview as a solid long-term bet.

3. Renovation Premium
A semi near Cedar & Phillip Murray that had been nicely updated—with modern flooring, a refreshed kitchen, improved lighting, and a finished basement—commanded a noticeable premium over less updated comparables. Buyers are clearly willing to pay extra for turnkey condition, especially now that renovation costs remain elevated.

4. Investor-Friendly Features
Many semis in Lakeview include side entrances and basements that can be modernized into in-law or income suites (subject to municipal rules). This flexibility appeals to landlords, multi-generational families, and first-time buyers who like the option of future rental income.


Micro-Locations Inside the Semi-Detached Segment

Lakeview isn’t a large neighbourhood geographically, but it behaves like several small markets stitched together. Each micro-zone responds differently depending on lifestyle features, lot sizes, and housing stock.

Cedar Street & Phillip Murray Avenue – Waterfront Lifestyle Zone

Semi-detached homes in the Cedar & Phillip Murray area benefited from:

  • Short walks to Lake Ontario

  • Easy access to Stone Street Park, sports fields, and a running track

  • The waterfront multi-use trail and nearby community centre

A renovated semi in this zone sold quickly in the low $600,000s, highlighting the premium that buyers attach to walkable access to the lake and parks. Even without luxury finishes, homes here enjoy a lifestyle lift that translates into stronger offers.

Stevenson Road South & Renaissance Drive – Family Crescent Zone

Semis near Stevenson & Renaissance (including those on surrounding crescent streets) performed strongly as well. This pocket typically provides:

  • Larger-than-average interior square footage for a semi

  • Quiet, low-traffic streets ideal for families

  • Reasonable lot sizes and decent parking

  • Proximity to schools, parks, and everyday shopping

A semi in this micro-zone achieved a sale price roughly 6 percent above its list price and sold within a couple of weeks, showing that family buyers continue to prioritize stability, space, and predictable neighbourhood character.

Cedar Street & Killarney Court – Investor Meets First-Time Buyer

Around Cedar & Killarney, you see a blend of:

  • Finished basements

  • Flexible layouts

  • Good depth lots

  • An increasing number of interior updates

A semi here reached roughly $636,000 in November. Investors appreciate the potential for rental income, while first-time buyers are drawn to the combination of modernized interiors and relative affordability.


List-to-Sale Ratios and DOM for Semis

Aggregating your November semi-detached transactions, we see the following patterns:

  • Semis listed in the high $540,000s to high $590,000s often sold above asking, achieving roughly 101–106 percent of list price.

  • The one semi listed closer to $650,000 sold very near asking, reflecting buyer resistance as prices push higher.

On average, semi-detached homes achieved around 103–104 percent of their list price.

In terms of days on market:

  • Well-presented semis in good condition typically sold in 4–14 days

  • A power-of-sale property that required more work stayed on the market for over 30 days

This reinforces the idea that Lakeview is a fast-moving, low-inventory pocket where serious buyers are ready to act quickly when the right home appears.


What Buyers Wanted in November 2025

The November results clearly show what Lakeview buyers prioritized:

  • Modern finishes – Updated flooring, paint, and lighting were major pluses

  • Functional layouts – Homes that felt open or easily usable attracted better feedback

  • Finished basements – Extra living space was highly valued, whether for family or future rental use

  • Side entrances – Important for those considering in-law suites or separate entry scenarios

  • Good parking – Driveways accommodating two or more vehicles mattered

  • Turnkey condition – Buyers preferred homes they could move into without major renovation projects

  • Micro-location advantages – Proximity to the lake, green space, or a quiet crescent supported stronger offers

By contrast, homes that needed significant structural or cosmetic work, had outdated mechanical systems, or presented poorly in photos and showings attracted less competition and took longer to sell.


Detached Homes: Land, Utility, and Ceiling Prices

Detached homes represent a smaller slice of the Lakeview market, but the two detached sales in your November dataset provide an important lens into buyer psychology.

One detached sale was a bungalow near Ritson Road South & Conant Street, and the other a 1½-storey home near Simcoe Street South & Conant Street. Both sold for roughly $575,000.

What $575,000 for Detached Tells Us

Seeing both detached properties settle at the same price point—and below the semi-detached average—sends a clear signal:

  • Older detached homes that need updating are not automatically worth more than renovated semis

  • Interior condition and perceived livability now carry more weight than the simple fact of being detached

  • The mid–$570,000s appear to mark a ceiling for unrenovated detached homes of this type in Lakeview at this time

In most markets, you would expect detached homes to command a 20–30 percent premium over semis. In Lakeview’s November data, that pattern reverses: renovated semi-detached homes near the lake and in desirable pockets often outperform dated detached homes on older streets.


Bungalow Case Study – Near Ritson Road South & Conant Street

The bungalow near Ritson & Conant illustrates the trade-off between land and interior condition:

  • Sold for about $575,000

  • Took just over a month to sell

  • Sat on a large lot, roughly in the 48 × 135-foot range

  • Offered three bedrooms, one bathroom, and a partially finished basement

  • Presented as livable but clearly not modernized

Here, buyers were primarily paying for land size and location flexibility. A large lot at this price point is rare across most of Durham Region. The single-level layout appeals to seniors, small families, or investors planning to rework the space. But the modest interior size and dated finishes capped the price buyers were willing to pay.

Ceiling for Unrenovated Bungalows

Based on this example and the surrounding context, unrenovated bungalows in Lakeview seem to top out around the mid–$570,000s, unless they offer exceptional features or locations.


1½-Storey Case Study – Near Simcoe Street South & Conant Street

The 1½-storey detached near Simcoe & Conant tells a slightly different story:

  • Also sold for roughly $575,000

  • Sold very quickly, in just a few days

  • Sits on a deep lot, around 50 × 150 feet

  • Includes three bedrooms, two bathrooms

  • Features a large heated workshop-style garage

In this case, the primary draw was not the interior; it was the functional utility—lot size plus an oversized, heated garage that appeals to tradespeople, car enthusiasts, and home-based business operators.

Even though the interior needed modernization, the property’s unique features allowed it to sell quickly at a price similar to the bungalow that took much longer to move.


Detached Market Summary

Across these detached examples, we can summarize November’s detached performance as follows:

  • Detached average price: approximately $575,000

  • Days on market: roughly 4–34 days, depending heavily on condition and special features

  • Buyer priorities: lot size, parking, workshops, and privacy often outranked interior upgrades

Detached buyers in Lakeview 2025 were clearly value-focused. Many were willing to accept older interiors if they could secure better land, utility buildings, or multi-purpose use.


Price Patterns, DOM Trends, and Inventory Behaviour

Bringing the semi-detached and detached data together, November 2025 showed the following:

  • Semi-detached average: around $605,700

  • Detached average: around $575,000

  • Spread between the two: roughly 5 percent

Rather than detached homes leading the market, condition and location led the market. Renovated semis in prime micro-zones regularly exceeded older detached homes that needed work.

On the days-on-market side:

  • Well-prepared freehold homes usually sold in 4–14 days

  • Power-of-sale and heavily dated listings could remain on the market for about a month or more

Inventory remained low overall. There was no sign of oversupply; instead, well-priced listings under $650,000 tended to be absorbed quickly, often with multiple offers.


Micro-Neighbourhoods and Buyer Psychology

The November data strongly reinforces the importance of micro-location inside Lakeview:

  • Cedar & Phillip Murray: Premium for walkability, lake access, and recreation amenities

  • Stevenson & Renaissance: Family-oriented crescent streets with solid value retention

  • Ritson & Conant: Deep-lot, older homes attractive to investors and renovators

  • Simcoe & Conant: High-utility properties with workshops or business-friendly setups

  • Cedar & Killarney: Mix of updated homes, finished basements, and good rental demand

Across all these zones, buyer psychology shared a consistent theme:

  • Turnkey or near-turnkey homes triggered urgency and stronger offers

  • Price sensitivity climbed sharply above $650,000

  • Features such as separate entrances, flexible basements, and large parking areas were heavily rewarded

  • Lake and park proximity created a lifestyle premium that buyers were willing to pay for

  • Quiet streets and good neighbourhood feel often mattered more than pure square footage


Lakeview vs Nearby Markets: The Affordability Valve

In a broader regional context, Lakeview operates as an affordability valve for the eastern GTA.

Approximate entry-level freehold price ranges:

  • Scarborough: about $850,000–$900,000+

  • Pickering: around $900,000–$1,000,000

  • Ajax: roughly $880,000–$950,000

  • Courtice: often $750,000–$820,000 for comparable product

  • Lakeview Oshawa: semi-detached average around $605,700

This means buyers moving from Scarborough, Pickering, or Ajax can often:

  • Reduce their mortgage size significantly

  • Double their lot size compared to some urban pockets

  • Move from condo-town product into semi-detached or detached freehold

  • Access the lake, parks, and a less congested environment

As a result, Lakeview remains one of the few GTA markets where a freehold home under $650,000 is still realistic.


Seller Strategy: Lessons From November 2025

For Lakeview homeowners considering selling, November’s data offers clear guidance:

  1. Pricing Just Below Market Creates Energy
    Listing in the $549,900–$599,000 range for appropriate homes created strong interest, multiple offers, and over-asking sale prices. This approach works especially well for updated, well-presented homes.

  2. Investing in Cosmetic Renovations Pays Off
    New flooring, modern kitchens, refreshed bathrooms, paint, and finished basements delivered high ROI in both sale price and speed of sale.

  3. Presentation and Marketing Matter
    Professional photos, staging, clean spaces, and strong online presence are no longer optional—they are essential components of a top-dollar sale.

  4. Condition Determines Strategy for Older or Distressed Homes
    For power-of-sale or heavily dated properties, more aggressive pricing, transparency, and sometimes pre-inspections are needed to overcome buyer hesitation.


Affordability, Financing, and the Importance of Price Bands

In November 2025, the Bank of Canada overnight rate sat around 2.50 percent, and typical mortgage rates often fell in the mid–4 percent range. Yet because of the stress test, insured buyers still had to qualify at the higher of contract plus two percent or 5.25 percent.

For a $600,000 purchase with 20 percent down:

  • Down payment: $120,000

  • Mortgage: about $480,000

  • Monthly payment at around 5 percent: roughly $2,575

  • Taxes and insurance: approximately $250–$300 combined

  • Total ownership cost: in the $2,825–$2,900 range, plus utilities

Households with combined incomes around $100,000–$130,000 can often manage these payments with careful budgeting. However, once purchase prices climb much above $650,000, both monthly payments and stress test requirements start to eliminate a meaningful chunk of the buyer pool.

This is why:

  • Homes under $600,000 draw more showings and offers

  • Listings in the $550,000–$650,000 band are the most competitive

  • Homes listed closer to or above $700,000 must justify their price with obvious, standout value


2026 Outlook for Lakeview

Looking ahead, Lakeview appears well positioned for steady performance:

  • Modest price growth in the range of 3–7 percent is realistic if interest rates stabilize or trend slightly lower

  • Any easing in the stress test or perception of rate relief will likely push additional buyers into the sub-$650,000 market

  • Renovated semis in prime micro-areas may move into the high $600,000s, and premium homes near the lake could test or exceed the $700,000 level

  • Detached homes, which lagged semis in 2025, have more room to appreciate if owners invest in modernization

  • Investor interest is likely to strengthen as investors recognize the combination of relatively low purchase prices, strong rental demand, and good cap-rate potential

Overall, Lakeview remains one of the GTA’s most compelling value markets for both end users and investors.


Investment Takeaways

For investors evaluating Lakeview:

  • Renovated semi-detached homes offer strong resale value and tenant appeal

  • Properties with separate entrances and finished basements are prime candidates for income suites (where legal and compliant)

  • Homes on larger lots near corridors like Ritson, Simcoe, or within walking distance of the lake may offer long-term redevelopment or garden-suite potential

  • Micro-zones near Cedar & Phillip Murray provide waterfront lifestyle value that supports both resale and rental pricing

  • Homes with oversized garages or workshops near major routes attract tradespeople and home-business users who are willing to pay for utility

Properties that tend to underperform are those that combine multiple negatives: old heating systems, major deferred maintenance, very limited parking, cramped kitchens, and poor curb appeal. These can still be opportunities for experienced investors, but they require sharper acquisition pricing and a clear renovation plan.


Final Thoughts

November 2025 confirmed that Lakeview Oshawa remains one of the most undervalued yet high-opportunity pockets in Durham Region.

The month’s data showed:

  • Quick sales for well-priced freehold homes

  • Strong over-asking results for renovated semis

  • Detached homes with strong land value trading at sensible prices

  • Buyers consistently prioritizing micro-location, condition, and lifestyle access

  • Investors and first-time buyers both active in the same price band

For buyers, Lakeview is still one of the very few GTA communities where you can find:

  • A yard

  • A driveway

  • Three bedrooms

  • A basement

  • Proximity to parks and Lake Ontario

  • A freehold purchase price under roughly $650,000

For sellers, the message is that thoughtful preparation, smart pricing, and strong marketing can still produce excellent results—even in a higher-rate environment.

For investors, Lakeview continues to offer a combination of entry-level purchase prices, strong rental demand, and realistic long-term appreciation that is increasingly rare across the GTA.


Got it — no specific property addresses, only closest intersections. Here’s the revised full blog with all addresses removed and replaced by intersection-based descriptions.

You can paste this directly into your website.


Lakeview Oshawa Real Estate Market Report – November 2025

Lakeview Oshawa: November 2025 Market Overview

November 2025 was one of the most revealing months for the Lakeview neighbourhood in Oshawa. This lakeside community, once known mainly as a modest, working-class pocket, has now firmly established itself as one of the most strategic, affordability-focused micro-markets in the eastern GTA.

The November sales activity, covering transactions between November 1 and November 30, 2025, provides a clear snapshot of how buyers and sellers are behaving in this area. The data set drawn from your MLS-style reports includes a mix of semi-detached homes, detached bungalows, and 1½-storey houses, mostly freehold and all appealing to cost-conscious buyers.

Several key patterns stand out:

  • Most homes sold within days rather than weeks

  • Multiple properties achieved sale prices above their list price

  • Renovated or modernized homes attracted the strongest competition

  • Affordability, relative to nearby Durham and GTA markets, remained the dominant driver

Semi-detached homes, which make up a significant portion of Lakeview’s stock, led the way in both volume and price strength. Renovated semis, in particular, delivered standout performance because buyers increasingly lack the budget, time, or appetite for major post-purchase renovations. In a higher-rate environment, people want homes that are “move-in ready” from day one.

Despite the broader affordability challenges across Ontario and tougher qualification rules under the mortgage stress test (buyers must qualify at the greater of their contract rate plus two percent or 5.25 percent), Lakeview continues to outperform comparable entry-level markets. That resilience is rooted in several advantages:

  • Quick access to Highway 401 for commuters

  • Direct proximity to Lake Ontario, the Waterfront Trail, and multiple parks

  • Price levels that are still meaningfully below Pickering, Ajax, and Scarborough

  • Strong perception among first-time buyers that Lakeview is one of Durham’s most realistic entry points

The rest of this report breaks down November 2025 in depth—by property type, micro-neighbourhood, buyer motivations, seller strategy, and future outlook—so that buyers, sellers, and investors can make informed and confident decisions.


Sales Snapshot: What Sold in November 2025

Your November data set includes several representative transactions across different parts of Lakeview. To keep privacy intact, we’ll reference each property only by closest major intersection, not by address.

Semi-Detached Homes – Key Examples

Among the semi-detached homes, we saw:

  • A semi in the Cedar Street & Phillip Murray Avenue pocket selling in the low $600,000s after light competition

  • A semi near Stevenson Road South & Renaissance Drive selling in the high $570,000s with strong over-asking activity

  • A semi in the Cedar Street & Killarney Court area selling in the mid–$630,000s

  • Another semi near Cedar Street & Phillip Murray Avenue exceeding the $600,000 mark after upgrades and staging

  • A semi in an interior court near the Lakeview and Beaverbrook area selling near the mid–$640,000s, very close to asking

Although each property had its own features, these homes collectively defined the semi-detached segment for the month.

Detached Homes – Key Examples

Detached inventory was limited but instructive:

  • A bungalow near Ritson Road South & Conant Street sold around $575,000

  • A 1½-storey detached home near Simcoe Street South & Conant Street also sold for about $575,000

These two detached examples provide a baseline for understanding ceiling prices and buyer preferences in Lakeview’s older freehold stock.


Semi-Detached Homes: The Anchor of the Lakeview Market

Semi-detached homes are the core product in Lakeview and continue to set the tone for pricing and buyer expectations.

From your sample of semi-detached sales, prices ranged from the mid–$550,000s to the mid–$640,000s. When we average those results, Lakeview’s semi-detached homes in November 2025 land around $605,700.

That number matters for two key reasons:

  1. It’s significantly higher than what similar homes in this neighbourhood achieved just a few years ago, when many semis still traded below the $500,000 mark.

  2. It effectively defines the “price anchor” for the neighbourhood. Buyers now perceive the low $600,000s as a normal range for a good semi in Lakeview.

Why Semi-Detached Homes Outperformed

Several forces converged to make semis the star of the market.

1. Entry-Level Price Point With Real Space
Compared to buying a condo or stacked townhome, a semi in Lakeview offers a lot: three bedrooms, two or more baths, a private yard, and driveway parking. For buyers priced out of Ajax, Pickering, and even parts of Oshawa to the north, this combination of space and affordability is compelling.

2. Appeal to Commuters
Lakeview’s quick access to Highway 401, along with reasonable commuting times to Pickering, Scarborough, and downtown Toronto, makes the area attractive to working professionals. As GO Transit and regional transit talk progresses, buyers increasingly see Lakeview as a solid long-term bet.

3. Renovation Premium
A semi near Cedar & Phillip Murray that had been nicely updated—with modern flooring, a refreshed kitchen, improved lighting, and a finished basement—commanded a noticeable premium over less updated comparables. Buyers are clearly willing to pay extra for turnkey condition, especially now that renovation costs remain elevated.

4. Investor-Friendly Features
Many semis in Lakeview include side entrances and basements that can be modernized into in-law or income suites (subject to municipal rules). This flexibility appeals to landlords, multi-generational families, and first-time buyers who like the option of future rental income.


Micro-Locations Inside the Semi-Detached Segment

Lakeview isn’t a large neighbourhood geographically, but it behaves like several small markets stitched together. Each micro-zone responds differently depending on lifestyle features, lot sizes, and housing stock.

Cedar Street & Phillip Murray Avenue – Waterfront Lifestyle Zone

Semi-detached homes in the Cedar & Phillip Murray area benefited from:

  • Short walks to Lake Ontario

  • Easy access to Stone Street Park, sports fields, and a running track

  • The waterfront multi-use trail and nearby community centre

A renovated semi in this zone sold quickly in the low $600,000s, highlighting the premium that buyers attach to walkable access to the lake and parks. Even without luxury finishes, homes here enjoy a lifestyle lift that translates into stronger offers.

Stevenson Road South & Renaissance Drive – Family Crescent Zone

Semis near Stevenson & Renaissance (including those on surrounding crescent streets) performed strongly as well. This pocket typically provides:

  • Larger-than-average interior square footage for a semi

  • Quiet, low-traffic streets ideal for families

  • Reasonable lot sizes and decent parking

  • Proximity to schools, parks, and everyday shopping

A semi in this micro-zone achieved a sale price roughly 6 percent above its list price and sold within a couple of weeks, showing that family buyers continue to prioritize stability, space, and predictable neighbourhood character.

Cedar Street & Killarney Court – Investor Meets First-Time Buyer

Around Cedar & Killarney, you see a blend of:

  • Finished basements

  • Flexible layouts

  • Good depth lots

  • An increasing number of interior updates

A semi here reached roughly $636,000 in November. Investors appreciate the potential for rental income, while first-time buyers are drawn to the combination of modernized interiors and relative affordability.


List-to-Sale Ratios and DOM for Semis

Aggregating your November semi-detached transactions, we see the following patterns:

  • Semis listed in the high $540,000s to high $590,000s often sold above asking, achieving roughly 101–106 percent of list price.

  • The one semi listed closer to $650,000 sold very near asking, reflecting buyer resistance as prices push higher.

On average, semi-detached homes achieved around 103–104 percent of their list price.

In terms of days on market:

  • Well-presented semis in good condition typically sold in 4–14 days

  • A power-of-sale property that required more work stayed on the market for over 30 days

This reinforces the idea that Lakeview is a fast-moving, low-inventory pocket where serious buyers are ready to act quickly when the right home appears.


What Buyers Wanted in November 2025

The November results clearly show what Lakeview buyers prioritized:

  • Modern finishes – Updated flooring, paint, and lighting were major pluses

  • Functional layouts – Homes that felt open or easily usable attracted better feedback

  • Finished basements – Extra living space was highly valued, whether for family or future rental use

  • Side entrances – Important for those considering in-law suites or separate entry scenarios

  • Good parking – Driveways accommodating two or more vehicles mattered

  • Turnkey condition – Buyers preferred homes they could move into without major renovation projects

  • Micro-location advantages – Proximity to the lake, green space, or a quiet crescent supported stronger offers

By contrast, homes that needed significant structural or cosmetic work, had outdated mechanical systems, or presented poorly in photos and showings attracted less competition and took longer to sell.


Detached Homes: Land, Utility, and Ceiling Prices

Detached homes represent a smaller slice of the Lakeview market, but the two detached sales in your November dataset provide an important lens into buyer psychology.

One detached sale was a bungalow near Ritson Road South & Conant Street, and the other a 1½-storey home near Simcoe Street South & Conant Street. Both sold for roughly $575,000.

What $575,000 for Detached Tells Us

Seeing both detached properties settle at the same price point—and below the semi-detached average—sends a clear signal:

  • Older detached homes that need updating are not automatically worth more than renovated semis

  • Interior condition and perceived livability now carry more weight than the simple fact of being detached

  • The mid–$570,000s appear to mark a ceiling for unrenovated detached homes of this type in Lakeview at this time

In most markets, you would expect detached homes to command a 20–30 percent premium over semis. In Lakeview’s November data, that pattern reverses: renovated semi-detached homes near the lake and in desirable pockets often outperform dated detached homes on older streets.


Bungalow Case Study – Near Ritson Road South & Conant Street

The bungalow near Ritson & Conant illustrates the trade-off between land and interior condition:

  • Sold for about $575,000

  • Took just over a month to sell

  • Sat on a large lot, roughly in the 48 × 135-foot range

  • Offered three bedrooms, one bathroom, and a partially finished basement

  • Presented as livable but clearly not modernized

Here, buyers were primarily paying for land size and location flexibility. A large lot at this price point is rare across most of Durham Region. The single-level layout appeals to seniors, small families, or investors planning to rework the space. But the modest interior size and dated finishes capped the price buyers were willing to pay.

Ceiling for Unrenovated Bungalows

Based on this example and the surrounding context, unrenovated bungalows in Lakeview seem to top out around the mid–$570,000s, unless they offer exceptional features or locations.


1½-Storey Case Study – Near Simcoe Street South & Conant Street

The 1½-storey detached near Simcoe & Conant tells a slightly different story:

  • Also sold for roughly $575,000

  • Sold very quickly, in just a few days

  • Sits on a deep lot, around 50 × 150 feet

  • Includes three bedrooms, two bathrooms

  • Features a large heated workshop-style garage

In this case, the primary draw was not the interior; it was the functional utility—lot size plus an oversized, heated garage that appeals to tradespeople, car enthusiasts, and home-based business operators.

Even though the interior needed modernization, the property’s unique features allowed it to sell quickly at a price similar to the bungalow that took much longer to move.


Detached Market Summary

Across these detached examples, we can summarize November’s detached performance as follows:

  • Detached average price: approximately $575,000

  • Days on market: roughly 4–34 days, depending heavily on condition and special features

  • Buyer priorities: lot size, parking, workshops, and privacy often outranked interior upgrades

Detached buyers in Lakeview 2025 were clearly value-focused. Many were willing to accept older interiors if they could secure better land, utility buildings, or multi-purpose use.


Price Patterns, DOM Trends, and Inventory Behaviour

Bringing the semi-detached and detached data together, November 2025 showed the following:

  • Semi-detached average: around $605,700

  • Detached average: around $575,000

  • Spread between the two: roughly 5 percent

Rather than detached homes leading the market, condition and location led the market. Renovated semis in prime micro-zones regularly exceeded older detached homes that needed work.

On the days-on-market side:

  • Well-prepared freehold homes usually sold in 4–14 days

  • Power-of-sale and heavily dated listings could remain on the market for about a month or more

Inventory remained low overall. There was no sign of oversupply; instead, well-priced listings under $650,000 tended to be absorbed quickly, often with multiple offers.


Micro-Neighbourhoods and Buyer Psychology

The November data strongly reinforces the importance of micro-location inside Lakeview:

  • Cedar & Phillip Murray: Premium for walkability, lake access, and recreation amenities

  • Stevenson & Renaissance: Family-oriented crescent streets with solid value retention

  • Ritson & Conant: Deep-lot, older homes attractive to investors and renovators

  • Simcoe & Conant: High-utility properties with workshops or business-friendly setups

  • Cedar & Killarney: Mix of updated homes, finished basements, and good rental demand

Across all these zones, buyer psychology shared a consistent theme:

  • Turnkey or near-turnkey homes triggered urgency and stronger offers

  • Price sensitivity climbed sharply above $650,000

  • Features such as separate entrances, flexible basements, and large parking areas were heavily rewarded

  • Lake and park proximity created a lifestyle premium that buyers were willing to pay for

  • Quiet streets and good neighbourhood feel often mattered more than pure square footage


Lakeview vs Nearby Markets: The Affordability Valve

In a broader regional context, Lakeview operates as an affordability valve for the eastern GTA.

Approximate entry-level freehold price ranges:

  • Scarborough: about $850,000–$900,000+

  • Pickering: around $900,000–$1,000,000

  • Ajax: roughly $880,000–$950,000

  • Courtice: often $750,000–$820,000 for comparable product

  • Lakeview Oshawa: semi-detached average around $605,700

This means buyers moving from Scarborough, Pickering, or Ajax can often:

  • Reduce their mortgage size significantly

  • Double their lot size compared to some urban pockets

  • Move from condo-town product into semi-detached or detached freehold

  • Access the lake, parks, and a less congested environment

As a result, Lakeview remains one of the few GTA markets where a freehold home under $650,000 is still realistic.


Seller Strategy: Lessons From November 2025

For Lakeview homeowners considering selling, November’s data offers clear guidance:

  1. Pricing Just Below Market Creates Energy
    Listing in the $549,900–$599,000 range for appropriate homes created strong interest, multiple offers, and over-asking sale prices. This approach works especially well for updated, well-presented homes.

  2. Investing in Cosmetic Renovations Pays Off
    New flooring, modern kitchens, refreshed bathrooms, paint, and finished basements delivered high ROI in both sale price and speed of sale.

  3. Presentation and Marketing Matter
    Professional photos, staging, clean spaces, and strong online presence are no longer optional—they are essential components of a top-dollar sale.

  4. Condition Determines Strategy for Older or Distressed Homes
    For power-of-sale or heavily dated properties, more aggressive pricing, transparency, and sometimes pre-inspections are needed to overcome buyer hesitation.


Affordability, Financing, and the Importance of Price Bands

In November 2025, the Bank of Canada overnight rate sat around 2.50 percent, and typical mortgage rates often fell in the mid–4 percent range. Yet because of the stress test, insured buyers still had to qualify at the higher of contract plus two percent or 5.25 percent.

For a $600,000 purchase with 20 percent down:

  • Down payment: $120,000

  • Mortgage: about $480,000

  • Monthly payment at around 5 percent: roughly $2,575

  • Taxes and insurance: approximately $250–$300 combined

  • Total ownership cost: in the $2,825–$2,900 range, plus utilities

Households with combined incomes around $100,000–$130,000 can often manage these payments with careful budgeting. However, once purchase prices climb much above $650,000, both monthly payments and stress test requirements start to eliminate a meaningful chunk of the buyer pool.

This is why:

  • Homes under $600,000 draw more showings and offers

  • Listings in the $550,000–$650,000 band are the most competitive

  • Homes listed closer to or above $700,000 must justify their price with obvious, standout value


2026 Outlook for Lakeview

Looking ahead, Lakeview appears well positioned for steady performance:

  • Modest price growth in the range of 3–7 percent is realistic if interest rates stabilize or trend slightly lower

  • Any easing in the stress test or perception of rate relief will likely push additional buyers into the sub-$650,000 market

  • Renovated semis in prime micro-areas may move into the high $600,000s, and premium homes near the lake could test or exceed the $700,000 level

  • Detached homes, which lagged semis in 2025, have more room to appreciate if owners invest in modernization

  • Investor interest is likely to strengthen as investors recognize the combination of relatively low purchase prices, strong rental demand, and good cap-rate potential

Overall, Lakeview remains one of the GTA’s most compelling value markets for both end users and investors.


Investment Takeaways

For investors evaluating Lakeview:

  • Renovated semi-detached homes offer strong resale value and tenant appeal

  • Properties with separate entrances and finished basements are prime candidates for income suites (where legal and compliant)

  • Homes on larger lots near corridors like Ritson, Simcoe, or within walking distance of the lake may offer long-term redevelopment or garden-suite potential

  • Micro-zones near Cedar & Phillip Murray provide waterfront lifestyle value that supports both resale and rental pricing

  • Homes with oversized garages or workshops near major routes attract tradespeople and home-business users who are willing to pay for utility

Properties that tend to underperform are those that combine multiple negatives: old heating systems, major deferred maintenance, very limited parking, cramped kitchens, and poor curb appeal. These can still be opportunities for experienced investors, but they require sharper acquisition pricing and a clear renovation plan.


Final Thoughts

November 2025 confirmed that Lakeview Oshawa remains one of the most undervalued yet high-opportunity pockets in Durham Region.

The month’s data showed:

  • Quick sales for well-priced freehold homes

  • Strong over-asking results for renovated semis

  • Detached homes with strong land value trading at sensible prices

  • Buyers consistently prioritizing micro-location, condition, and lifestyle access

  • Investors and first-time buyers both active in the same price band

For buyers, Lakeview is still one of the very few GTA communities where you can find:

  • A yard

  • A driveway

  • Three bedrooms

  • A basement

  • Proximity to parks and Lake Ontario

  • A freehold purchase price under roughly $650,000

For sellers, the message is that thoughtful preparation, smart pricing, and strong marketing can still produce excellent results—even in a higher-rate environment.

For investors, Lakeview continues to offer a combination of entry-level purchase prices, strong rental demand, and realistic long-term appreciation that is increasingly rare across the GTA.


 


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Sami Chowdhury
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📧 Email: samichy@torontobase.com
🌐 Web: www.torontobased.com | www.torontobase.ca

Let’s make your next move a smart one.


Get more market insights here:

Stay ahead of the curve. Get the latest real estate news and insights right here.


 

 

 

Read

Malvern Real Estate Market Report — November 2025

 

 Why Prices Have Finally Become Affordable Again

The Malvern community in northeast Scarborough has always been one of Toronto’s most diverse, resilient, and family-oriented neighbourhoods. But in November 2025, it did something that very few areas in the Greater Toronto Area managed to do: it became genuinely affordable again.

While most of Toronto continued to struggle with high home prices, limited freehold inventory, and constrained affordability caused by elevated borrowing costs, Malvern quietly shifted into one of the city’s strongest buyer’s markets. Every detached, semi-detached, and townhouse that sold in November closed below the asking price — a rare phenomenon in a region that spent years dominated by bidding wars, unconditional offers, and record-breaking price escalations.

This shift did not happen suddenly or in isolation. It is the result of changing buyer psychology, higher interest rates, increased listing supply, and naturally adjusting market dynamics. It also reflects the broader trend observed across Toronto: buyers have become cautious, strategic, and data-driven, while sellers are now adapting to the new reality of negotiation-based sales rather than expecting pandemic-era price premiums.

For first-time buyers, newcomers, and families who have been priced out of Toronto’s freehold market for the last several years, Malvern now represents a legitimate path into homeownership. With detached homes dipping under the $1 million mark, semi-detached homes stabilizing in the mid-$800s, and townhomes hovering near the $700K range, Malvern once again stands as one of the few pockets of Toronto where the dream of owning a freehold home is within reach.

This detailed November 2025 market report explores why prices corrected, how affordability returned, and why Malvern is positioned as one of the most attractive and opportunity-rich neighbourhoods in Toronto heading into 2026. From understanding local sales data to assessing buyer sentiment, neighbourhood micro-trends, investor demand, and future forecasts, this report provides a comprehensive breakdown for anyone looking to buy, sell, or invest in Malvern.


Market Overview: A Quiet but Powerful Shift Toward Affordability

Malvern’s November home sales reflected a calm yet profound shift: the market transitioned from seller-driven to buyer-driven. Unlike other parts of Toronto where freehold listings remain financially inaccessible or competitive, Malvern displayed notable affordability, predictability, and negotiation room.

Detached homes that were previously pushing well above $1.1 million earlier in the cycle settled comfortably under $1 million. Semi-detached homes, which are traditionally the entry point for move-up condo buyers, consistently sold between $825,000 and $860,000. Townhomes — long considered Malvern’s affordability anchor — averaged between $690,000 and $710,000, putting them far below comparable properties in Pickering, Ajax, or even Scarborough’s more central neighbourhoods.

This price reset reflects more than a temporary adjustment; it marks a rebalancing of the local housing economy. For years, Malvern’s relative affordability was overshadowed by bidding wars and speculative pressure. Now, with rising mortgage costs and a broader slowdown in aggressive buyer activity, the neighbourhood is returning to its historic role as an accessible, community-focused, freehold-oriented part of the city.

The sale-to-list ratio in November ranged from 92% to 95%, depending on property type. This means buyers successfully negotiated 5–8% off list prices — something that was nearly unthinkable during the pandemic boom.

Homes sold in November also displayed longer days on market compared to earlier years. Detached homes averaged around 23 days, semis around 19, and townhomes around 21 days. This shift gives buyers time to conduct inspections, review financing, and make informed decisions — a healthier alternative to the rushed, fear-driven purchase environment that defined the 2020–2022 period.


Why the Market Shifted: Understanding the Forces Behind Affordability

Several major factors contributed to Malvern’s affordability resurgence, and understanding them is crucial for both buyers and sellers.

High Interest Rates Reshaped Buyer Budgets

The Bank of Canada’s key interest rate remained at an elevated level for most of 2025. Higher borrowing costs directly reduced the purchasing power of buyers, which in turn slowed competition. A typical mortgage that once cost $3,000/month now costs $3,900–$4,200/month due to rate hikes — pushing many buyers to negotiate aggressively or avoid bidding wars altogether.

For the full rate history:
BANK OF CANADA

This shift was not unique to Malvern, but the neighbourhood felt the effect more strongly because its average home prices were within reach for many middle-income families.

Increased Supply Brought Balance

November saw a modest rise in active listings compared to previous months. Instead of fighting over a handful of freehold properties (as is often the case in Scarborough), buyers had choices. This additional supply helped moderate prices and gave buyers the confidence to negotiate.

Migration Patterns Favoured the East End

Over the past few years, more families have moved eastward due to affordability. Malvern offers a strong advantage:
✔ larger homes
✔ mature streets
✔ excellent highway access
✔ community infrastructure
✔ proximity to employment corridors

As demand naturally diffused eastward, Malvern’s market gained stability.

Buyer Psychology Shifted

Buyers are no longer panicking. They are waiting, watching, comparing neighbourhoods, and making highly calculated offers with conditions. The post-pandemic market has matured: buyers expect negotiation flexibility and walk away if sellers price irrationally.

For the first time in years, buyers are in control — and Malvern reflects that reality better than almost any other Toronto neighbourhood.


Detached Homes: Sub-$1 Million Listings Return

Detached homes in Malvern, particularly around Sheppard Avenue East and Neilson Road, saw strong activity in November, but not at the blistering pace seen during the pandemic. These homes typically feature 3–5 bedrooms, finished basements, and generous lot sizes.

The average list price for detached homes hovered around $1.06 million, while the average sold price settled near $987,000, officially bringing many Malvern detached homes back under the $1 million threshold.

This return to sub-million-dollar detached homes is significant — not only psychologically, but financially. Homes priced under $1 million avoid the double Land Transfer Tax threshold, saving buyers tens of thousands. This renewed affordability has opened doors for families that had been priced out for years.

Homes originally listed over $1.1 million sat idle for several weeks, receiving limited showings. Once reduced into the $1.03–$1.08M range, they triggered buyer interest and ultimately sold between $950K and $1M.

The story here is clear: sellers who price according to 2021 expectations are not selling; those who accept 2025 realities are closing quickly.


Semi-Detached Homes: Strong Demand, Strong Negotiation Power

Semi-detached homes near Tapscott Road, Finch Avenue East, and Morningside Avenue experienced steady demand in November. These properties are highly attractive to young families transitioning from condos, especially those seeking rental income potential through finished basements.

Most semis listed in the high-$800s sold for $845,000–$860,000, with average discounts of $40,000–$60,000 below asking. Homes with updated kitchens, newer roofs, and legally finished basements performed well but still did not achieve over-asking figures.

The semi-detached segment now represents one of the strongest value propositions in all of Scarborough. Compared to areas like Rouge, Morningside Heights, or Port Union—where semis often approach $900–$950K—Malvern’s pricing is 5–10% more accessible, while offering similar lot sizes and layouts.

The November data also shows that semis are the most liquid segment of the Malvern market — they sell steadily when priced correctly but still leave room for negotiation, giving buyers a rare opportunity to secure family-sized housing within Toronto.


Townhomes: The Affordability Anchor of Malvern

Townhomes remained Malvern’s strongest affordability category in November 2025. Properties near McLevin Avenue, Crow Trail, Morningside Avenue, and Tapscott Road delivered consistent activity. These homes generally feature 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and multi-level layouts that suit young families seeking space beyond a condo.

Most townhomes listed around $739,000, with final sale prices averaging $698,000–$710,000 depending on upgrades and location. This pricing positions Malvern townhomes significantly below those in Pickering’s Seaton community, Ajax’s central neighborhoods, and many new-build communities in Durham Region.

In many cases, the total mortgage expense for a Malvern townhouse is comparable to — or even lower than — renting a two-bedroom condo downtown.

With rising rent prices across Toronto, townhomes have become a natural stepping stone for new Canadians, young families, and first-time buyers looking for a balance of price and space.

 


Malvern Market Deep Dive — Micro-Neighbourhoods, Buyer Behaviour, and Long-Term Outlook

Malvern’s November 2025 real estate results become even more striking when examined at the micro-neighbourhood level. Each cluster of streets, each pocket near major intersections, and each housing type displayed trends that contribute to the broader story of affordability returning to east-end Toronto.

But these micro-trends are more than just numbers — they reveal the lived reality of buyers, sellers, and families navigating one of the most complex housing markets in decades. They show which streets are rising in demand, where investors are spending, where first-time buyers are migrating, and which types of homes are reacting most strongly to macroeconomic pressure.

Understanding these pockets helps explain why Malvern is outperforming neighbouring communities in affordability and buyer engagement — and why this shift is likely to shape early 2026 as well.


The Micro-Neighbourhoods Fueling Malvern’s Buyer Market

Sheppard & Neilson – Detached Homes With Space and Value

The area surrounding Sheppard Avenue East and Neilson Road remains one of the most sought-after parts of Malvern for families seeking detached homes with traditional suburban layouts. Homes here typically feature:

  • 3–5 bedrooms

  • Finished basements

  • Large driveways

  • Wider lots compared to central Scarborough

  • Quiet crescents and courts

  • Easy access to Highway 401, Malvern Mall, and several schools

In November, the majority of detached homes in this cluster sold between $950,000 and $1,000,000, despite listing prices that often began at $1.05–$1.15 million.

What’s notable is not just the price, but the quiet consistency: every detached home here sold under asking. Agents reported similar buyer comments:

“We love the area, but the mortgage cost has to make sense.”
— Buyer couple (Sheppard & Neilson pocket)

This neighbourhood has historically been one of Scarborough’s largest hubs for multi-generational families. Finished basements — many already configured for extended households — remain one of the strongest value-adds. Even in a softer market, homes with legal or easily convertible basement apartment setups saw more showings than those without.

Yet, despite the appeal, buyers are negotiating harder than ever. Offers between $70,000 and $100,000 below asking were common. Sellers who refused to adjust often sat on the market for extended periods, only to eventually reduce the price.

As a result, Sheppard & Neilson became a case study for what happens when a neighbourhood transitions into a buyer’s market: steady demand, but price correction through disciplined negotiation.


Tapscott & McLevin – Townhomes Driving the Affordability Revival

The Tapscott Road and McLevin Avenue corridor contains one of the highest concentrations of townhomes in Malvern — and these homes were central to November’s affordability comeback.

Townhomes here offer:

  • 3-bedroom layouts

  • Multi-level interior designs

  • Spacious principal rooms

  • Backyards or small patios

  • Family-oriented blocks

  • Steps to TTC routes and parks

Priced around $698,000 to $710,000, these townhomes were among the most accessible freehold options in all of Toronto this November. Many received 5–7 showings per week — not explosive activity, but healthy interest relative to the wider GTA slowdown.
Buyers were drawn to:

  • Proximity to schools

  • Ability to avoid condo fees

  • More square footage than a condo

  • The ability to renovate gradually

  • Lower long-term cost of ownership

One young family who purchased near McLevin summarized it perfectly:

“We can finally give our kids a backyard. We couldn’t do that anywhere else in Toronto at this price.”

What sets this pocket apart is not simply price — it’s price combined with lifestyle.

For immigrants, newcomers, and families who prefer multi-level living with a backyard, these freehold townhomes offer something the condo market cannot match. And with rents increasing across the GTA, the mortgage payment for these homes often aligns closely with the cost of renting a larger condo.

This affordability anchor is one of the strongest reasons Malvern became so competitive for buyers this month.


Crow Trail & Morningside – Larger Detached Homes, Bigger Negotiation Room

The Crow Trail and Morningside Avenue area features a variety of larger detached homes built with generous layouts, wider lots, and family-centric street designs.

Homes here often include:

  • 4–5 bedrooms

  • Double garages

  • Finished basements

  • Larger backyards

  • Quiet cul-de-sacs and crescents

These properties historically commanded higher selling prices within Malvern — often edging toward $1.2–$1.35 million during the 2021–2022 boom. But this November, the correction hit this pocket firmly.

Homes listed above $1.15M saw minimal foot traffic. The moment pricing came down into the $975,000–$1.05M range, buyers responded. Sellers who took three or more weeks to adjust pricing often lost serious buyers who shifted to competing neighbourhoods in Scarborough or Durham.

This cluster proved a crucial point: buyers are active, but not at any price.

The Crow Trail pocket also saw several conditional offers succeed — especially offers conditional on financing, which had disappeared in previous years. This indicates a more rational, measured market returning.

The trend is healthy for long-term stability. Buyers purchasing here in late 2025 may see strong appreciation in the coming years as interest rates reduce and family homes regain demand.


Finch & Tapscott – Semi-Detached Homes With Rental Opportunities

The semi-detached properties around Finch Avenue East and Tapscott Road are among Malvern’s most practical and investor-friendly homes.

In November 2025, these semis performed consistently:

  • List prices: $880,000–$905,000

  • Sold prices: $835,000–$860,000

  • Average negotiation: $40,000–$60,000 off

  • Average days on market: 15–23 days

These homes are attractive because they frequently include finished basements — some legal, some not — that offer potential rental income. For first-time buyers, these properties help offset mortgage payments in a high interest rate environment. For investors, they present reliable long-term rental demand due to proximity to schools, TTC lines, and retail amenities.

The rental opportunity here is especially appealing because Malvern has consistently strong tenant demand. With Scarborough rental prices climbing and condo rents downtown hitting record highs, families and professionals increasingly choose rental units in freehold homes.

This pocket is likely to see heightened investor interest once mortgage rates ease — making November 2025 a strategic time for buyers entering the market.


Buyer Behaviour: The Psychology Behind the Market Shift

November’s numbers tell a clear story, but buyer behaviour explains why the story unfolded the way it did.

Observations from agents, mortgage brokers, and buyers themselves reveal five powerful behavioural themes.


1. Buyers Are Accounting for High Mortgage Payments

With interest rates significantly higher than in 2020–2022, buyers are pre-calculating mortgage affordability down to the dollar. When a detached home is listed for $1.1M, multiple buyers now conclude:

“With today’s rates, that home is not worth that price.”

This results in:

  • Lower starting offers

  • More conditional offers

  • More walkaways

  • Less emotional buying

This shift has forced sellers to become realistic.


2. Buyers Expect Negotiation Power

In Malvern this November, almost every buyer entered the negotiation expecting — not hoping — to pay below asking price.

This is a significant psychological change from the bidding war era, where sellers had all the leverage.


3. Buyers Are Comparing Toronto vs. Durham

The Malvern market is heavily influenced by what’s happening east of the border in Pickering and Ajax.

Many buyers this month explicitly said they toured homes in Ajax before choosing Malvern because:

  • Ajax was too expensive

  • Malvern offered bigger layouts for less

  • Commute times were similar

  • Toronto’s double LTT under $1M was avoided

This direct comparison put downward pressure on Malvern prices and forced sellers to ensure pricing matched buyer expectations.


4. First-Time Buyers Returned — Carefully

In 2021, first-time buyers were overpowered by investors and move-up buyers. In 2025, they returned to the market — but with a more cautious and strategic approach.

They:

  • Viewed more homes

  • Made fewer emotional decisions

  • Asked more questions

  • Insisted on inspections

  • Relied on mortgage pre-approvals

This rational approach drives a healthier market balance.


5. Renters Becoming Owners Again

Several November buyers were long-term renters who delayed purchasing due to the pandemic frenzy. They re-entered the market because:

  • Rents increased dramatically

  • Freehold prices decreased

  • Mortgage payments align with rent in many cases

This trend is particularly strong in Malvern due to its affordability relative to other Toronto neighbourhoods.


Affordability Analysis: Why Malvern Became Toronto’s Best Entry Point

Affordability is not simply about home prices. It includes:

  • Mortgage qualification

  • Monthly carrying cost

  • Property tax

  • Home size and livability

  • Commute time

  • Long-term appreciation potential

Malvern performs strongly on all fronts.


Mortgage Affordability

A family earning $140,000/year can qualify for approximately $700,000–$800,000 mortgage under current rates. This places many Malvern townhomes and semis well within reach.

A detached home priced under $1M becomes accessible for buyers with:

  • Dual incomes

  • A modest down payment

  • Rental suite income

This contrasts sharply with other Toronto neighbourhoods, where detached homes remain well above $1.2–$1.5 million.


Monthly Carrying Cost Comparison

Malvern Townhouse Example

  • Price: $700,000

  • 20% down: $140,000

  • Mortgage: $560,000

  • Monthly payment (5.99%): ~$3,500

Renting a 2-bedroom downtown condo

  • Average monthly rent: $3,250–$3,700

  • No equity gained

  • No outdoor space

  • No long-term value

For many households, owning in Malvern offers better long-term value for roughly the same monthly cost.


Land Transfer Tax Advantage

Homes under $1,000,000 avoid Toronto’s double land transfer tax threshold. This saves buyers:

  • $15,500–$30,000+ upfront

This is one of the biggest hidden advantages of Malvern’s November price shift.


Long-Term Outlook: Why Malvern Is Positioned to Grow

Looking ahead to 2026 and beyond, Malvern’s fundamentals remain strong:

  • Affordability compared to nearby markets

  • Family-oriented housing stock

  • Proximity to retail, parks, and schools

  • Strong rental demand

  • Anticipated transit improvements

  • Population growth driven by immigration

When interest rates eventually decrease — even modestly — buyer demand is expected to increase again. If supply remains moderate, prices will naturally rise.

Buying during a soft cycle like November 2025 could lead to significant equity growth over the next 3–5 years.


Final Conclusion: Malvern’s Affordability Window Is Open — For Now

Malvern’s November 2025 real estate market marked a rare and meaningful shift. After years of bidding wars and rising prices, freehold homeownership in Toronto finally became accessible again.

Every detached, semi-detached, and townhome sold below asking — a clear indicator that buyers have regained leverage. Prices corrected meaningfully and now reflect current economic realities.

For families, newcomers, investors, and first-time buyers, Malvern offers something incredibly valuable:
an affordable pathway into the Toronto market without sacrificing space, community, or location.

This affordability window may narrow when interest rates drop and demand rebounds. But for now, Malvern stands out as one of Toronto’s best opportunities heading into 2026.


References

TRREB Market Watch (Nov 2025):

Bank of Canada Rate Trends:
City of Toronto Neighbourhood Profiles:
Canada Mortgage & Housing Market Insights:


 


🏡 Ready to Start Your Real Estate Journey?
Whether you're planning to buy, sell, or invest, I’m here to guide you every step of the way — surprises and all.

📈 Looking to capitalize on today’s changing market?
Explore a wide range of specialized listings with access to powerful tools and search portals tailored to your needs:

Stay ahead of the curve. Get the latest real estate news and insights right here.


📩 Need help navigating your options?
Reach out for expert advice and market insights:

Sami Chowdhury
BROKER
📧 Email: samichy@torontobase.com
🌐 Web: www.torontobased.com | www.torontobase.ca

Let’s make your next move a smart one.


Get more market insights here:

Stay ahead of the curve. Get the latest real estate news and insights right here.


 

 

 

Read

Yangwang U9 Xtreme — When an Electric Car Redefines Speed & Performance

Introduction: A New Era of Hypercar Performance

In September 2025, the automotive world was shaken when the Yangwang U9 Xtreme — a fully electric hypercar developed by BYD’s luxury sub-brand Yangwang — shattered the production-car top-speed record, reaching 496.22 km/h (308.4 mph). (BYD)

The implications go far beyond a mere top-speed brag: a Chinese automaker has pushed EV technology to a point once thought the exclusive domain of combustion-engine hypercars. With only 30 units slated for production, the U9 Xtreme isn’t just a record-setter — it’s a statement. (CnEVPost)

In this blog post, we’ll dissect exactly what the U9 Xtreme is, how it achieved this milestone, what it means for the wider auto industry — and why you should pay attention even if you’ll never drive one.


Section 1: The Record That Turned Heads — What Happened

🔹 History-Making Speed Run

  • On 14 September 2025, at the ATP Automotive Testing track in Papenburg, Germany, the U9 Xtreme was clocked at 496.22 km/h (308.4 mph) — a verified top speed for a production car. (BYD)

  • This run surpassed the previous record holder, the combustion-engine hypercar Bugatti Chiron Super Sport 300+, which topped out at about 490.4 km/h. (autoX)

  • According to BYD, only 30 units of U9 Xtreme will be produced globally — making it not just a record-holder, but a rare collector’s piece. (BYD)

🔹 Nürburgring Record to Boot

Speed straight-line is one thing — handling and track credentials are another. Less than two months later, the U9 Xtreme lapped the legendary Nürburgring Nordschleife in 6 minutes 59.157 seconds, making it the first production EV to break the 7-minute barrier there. (BYD)

This shows the U9 Xtreme isn’t just about straight-line numbers: it has serious chassis, aero, and handling capability.


Section 2: What Powers the Beast — Inside the Engineering Marvel

To hit nearly 500 km/h and still be “production-car legal,” the U9 Xtreme isn’t merely a detuned hypercar — it’s a purpose-built engineering spectacle. Here are the key technologies and design decisions that enabled this performance:

🔧 Quad-Motor System & 1200-Volt Platform

  • The U9 Xtreme uses four independent electric motors — one per wheel — delivering a combined peak power of around 3,000 PS (≈ 2,959 hp / 2,220 kW). (BYD)

  • The entire car is run on a 1,200-volt ultra-high-voltage architecture, a step up from the 800V systems used in many high-performance EVs — allowing for more efficient power delivery and better thermal performance under extreme load. (BYD)

  • Each motor reportedly can spin up to 30,000 rpm, producing immense torque and allowing rapid acceleration and sustained power for high-speed runs. (autoX)

🔋 High-Performance Battery & Thermal Management

  • The U9 Xtreme uses a special variant of BYD’s proprietary “Blade Battery”, with a 30C discharge rate and dual-layer cooling — essential to supply huge bursts of power while managing heat during sustained high-speed use. (BYD)

  • These features make the U9 Xtreme one of the most thermally robust EVs built, capable of handling the extreme stress of world-record attempts.

🏎️ Aerodynamics, Chassis & High-Speed Stability Components

Achieving top speed is about more than power — aerodynamic stability, grip, and chassis control are critical:

  • The U9 Xtreme sports a race-tuned aerodynamic package: massive carbon-fiber front splitter, swan-neck rear wing, aggressive diffuser, and ground-effect underbody designed to produce sufficient downforce at 500 km/h. (CarNewsChina.com)

  • The tyres are also bespoke: 20-inch wheels wrapped in GitiSport e·GTR2 Pro semi-slick tyres engineered for sustained speeds up to 500 km/h — one of the few tyre sets worldwide rated for such speeds. (CarNewsChina.com)

  • The chassis benefits from a DiSus-X active suspension system, which reportedly adjusts vertical wheel motion in real-time to maintain traction and reduce pitch/yaw — crucial when dealing with high aerodynamic loads and torque vectoring at 5-hundred km/h. (autoX)

🔁 Torque Vectoring & All-Wheel Power Delivery

Thanks to independent control of each motor, the U9 Xtreme can distribute torque dynamically — reportedly adjusting power delivery up to 100 times per second — to maximize traction, cornering stability, and acceleration. (autoX)

This kind of precision control is one of the key advantages electric drivetrains have over traditional combustion engines, especially at extreme speeds.


Section 3: From Garage to Glory — The Public Debut at Guangzhou Auto Show 2025

The world got its first public in-person look at the U9 Xtreme at the 2025 Guangzhou Auto Show, where Yangwang showcased the car (in red) with record plaques and video of its high-speed run. (CnEVPost)

Attendees and auto press were unanimous: photos do not do the car justice. The low, wide stance, aggressive aero, and carbon-fiber details make it look more like a spacecraft than a traditional car. Its reveal was widely interpreted as more than a product launch — it was a geopolitical and industrial statement: China has entered the hypercar arena, not as a follower, but as a contender.

The limited production run (30 units globally) combined with its performance record guarantees the U9 Xtreme will be a collector’s item. In effect, BYD isn’t just selling a car — they’re selling a legacy.


Section 4: Why It Matters — Impacts on the Auto Industry and EV Landscape

The U9 Xtreme isn’t just a cool headline. It marks a shift in how auto makers, enthusiasts, and even policymakers may view the potential of electric vehicles. Here’s why this matters:

🚗 EVs Are No Longer “Just Efficient” — They’re Extreme Performance Machines

For many years, EVs were championed for sustainability, efficiency, and practicality — not speed. The U9 Xtreme flips that narrative: electric powertrains now challenge, and beat, the wildest internal-combustion hypercars on raw performance metrics.

This could shift public and industry perception: EVs can do more than “city commuting” or “eco-friendly driving.” They can dominate the extreme end of performance.

🌍 China’s Rise as Hypercar Engineering Powerhouse

That a Chinese automaker — previously known for mass-market EVs — has built the fastest production car in the world is symbolically huge. It demonstrates that Chinese automakers are not just competitive on price or volume — they can lead in engineering, innovation, and performance.

That has implications for global auto competition: traditional European hypercar makers may need to rethink how they defend performance prestige. The playing field is widening.

🔧 Tech Trickles Down: Hypercar R&D Benefits Future EVs

Engineering innovations from the U9 Xtreme — high-voltage platforms, advanced thermal management, battery discharge tech, torque vectoring, active suspension — are not just novelty features. They could influence the next generation of performance or even mainstream EVs from BYD and other brands, leading to:

  • Faster-charging high-performance EVs

  • Better thermal efficiency for long-range or high-load use

  • Improved handling and ride quality on performance-oriented EV models

🏁 Pressure on Legacy Hypercar Makers — and a New Benchmark

With the U9 Xtreme hitting previously unimaginable speeds, legacy hypercar brands have new pressure. Speed — once the domain of combustion engines with massive displacement engines and exotic engineering — can now be matched or beaten by electric drivetrains.

This may force them to innovate faster, rebrand their performance narratives, or pivot entirely toward electrification to stay relevant.


Section 5: What’s Not Perfect — Limitations, Realities & What We Don’t Yet Know

Even with the hype and records, there remain caveats. A car like the U9 Xtreme is an extreme machine, not a typical consumer vehicle. Consider:

⚠️ Extremely Limited Production — Exclusivity Over Mass Impact

With only 30 units slated globally, the U9 Xtreme is more of a halo product than the basis for a broad shift. It’s unlikely to influence everyday EV buyers directly. (CnEVPost)

🛞 Tires, Thermal Limits & Real-World Usability

The semi-slick tyres rated for 500 km/h, the massive demand on battery discharge, suspension loads, and aerodynamics — these are engineered for one thing: extreme performance under controlled track conditions. Real-world driving, legal speed limits, weather, road conditions, and maintenance needs limit what the car can do outside a track environment.

📄 Certification & Verification — The Record Comes With Questions

Some observers note that high-speed records often have strict certification standards (e.g., two-way runs, independent timing, environmental control). While BYD says the run was verified by ATP and media widely report the record, full independent documentation — at least publicly — is limited. (autoevolution.com)

That said: even with some wiggle room, the engineering achievement remains impressive.

🏗️ Not a Template for Mass-Market EVs — Yet

The U9 Xtreme isn’t built for practicality. It’s built for extremes. It’s not a commuter car, a family car, or an EV for everyday use. Its relevance to mass-market EV trends is indirect — via technology transfer — not direct replication.


Section 6: What’s Next — The Road Ahead After U9 Xtreme

This record-breaking run is unlikely to be the final chapter. Here’s what to watch for:

  • Further speed/track records from other EV makers — the success of U9 Xtreme may prompt other automakers to chase even more extreme benchmarks.

  • Technology trickle-down — expect features like high-voltage platforms, advanced battery discharge systems, and active suspension to appear in premium EV models soon.

  • Market repositioning — Chinese automakers may increasingly compete not only on price or volume but on performance and prestige globally.

  • Regulatory & infrastructure considerations — as EV hypercars push boundaries, regulators (e.g. on tyres, speed certification, safety) may update rules; road infrastructure and tire technology may evolve accordingly.

  • Cultural shift — the perception of EVs may shift among enthusiasts: from “efficient and eco-friendly” to “extreme performance machines.”


Conclusion — Electric Powertrains Are No Longer the Future. They Are the Present of Hypercar Performance.

The Yangwang U9 Xtreme is more than a headline or a PR stunt. It’s a milestone — a line in the sand marking a shift in the auto world. Electric drivetrains have proven they aren’t just viable replacements for combustion engines — they can outperform them, in speed, power delivery, and engineering sophistication.

For BYD and China’s auto industry, this is a coming-of-age moment. For hypercar aficionados, it’s a wake-up call. And for the broader world, it’s a sign that the future of car performance is electric, even at the extremes.

The U9 Xtreme isn’t about practicality. It’s about possibility. It’s about rewriting expectations. And it’s about proving that when engineers aim for “ultimate,” the results can be breathtaking.


Further Reading & References

  1. BYD announces world-first as Yangwang U9 Xtreme becomes fastest production car at 496.22 km/h. (BYD)

  2. BYD Yangwang U9 Xtreme EV breaks global production-car top-speed record at 496.22 km/h. (autoX)

  3. BYD’s 3,000 hp Yangwang U9 hypercar breaks Nürburgring EV record with sub-7-minute lap. (Electrek)

  4. BYD to showcase U9 Xtreme at Guangzhou Auto Show 2025 — limited run of 30 units. (CnEVPost)

  5. Technical breakdown: electric motors, 1200V platform, Blade Battery high-discharge system, semi-slick tyres, DiSus-X suspension. (CarNewsChina.com)

  6. Autoevolution’s discussion on verification, record context, and ultra-high-speed limitations. (autoevolution.com)


I’m a real estate broker, but I’ve always had a passion for cars—especially electric ones. I follow both BYD and Tesla closely, and I find BYD’s designs particularly impressive. I’ll confess: I don’t own an electric car yet, but it’s definitely something I plan to do in the future.

If you ever need help with buying, selling, or investing in real estate, I’m always here to assist.

Contact Information:
Sami Chowdhury, Broker
Email: samichy@torontobase.com
Websites: www.torontobased.com | www.torontobase.ca

 

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Bill 60 vs. Ontario’s Residential Tenancies Act (RTA): What’s Changing?

Ontario’s rental housing system is governed by the Residential Tenancies Act, 2006 (RTA) and enforced through the Landlord and Tenant Board (LTB). With the introduction of Bill 60 (2025), the Province has proposed several amendments intended to “modernize” tenancy procedures and streamline Board operations.

This article provides a clear, simple comparison of the current RTA rules and the new framework proposed under Bill 60.
No predictions. No interpretations. Just the actual legislative differences, section by section.


1. Notice for Non-Payment of Rent (N4)

Relevant law: RTA ss. 59–60

Current RTA

  • When a tenant fails to pay rent, the landlord issues an N4 Notice to End Tenancy for Non-payment.

  • Tenants have 14 days (for monthly or fixed-term tenancies) to pay the arrears in full and void the notice.

  • If the tenant pays within the 14-day period, the tenancy continues.

Bill 60

  • Bill 60 shortens the statutory timeline for non-payment procedures, reducing the notice period before a landlord may proceed to the LTB.

  • Exact timelines are detailed in the Bill’s amendments.
    Source: Bill 60 PDF – Schedule 12 (Residential Tenancies Act amendments)


2. Raising Repair or Maintenance Issues at an Arrears Hearing – RTA Section 82

Current RTA (s. 82)

  • Tenants may raise issues at an eviction hearing—such as:

    • repair and maintenance problems,

    • vital service interruptions,

    • interference by the landlord.

  • Tenants must provide written notice before the hearing, but:

    • There is no required payment amount they must submit first.

Bill 60

Bill 60 retains Section 82 but adds two significant procedural requirements:

  1. Tenants must follow new, stricter written-notice rules before raising repair or maintenance issues at an arrears eviction hearing.

  2. Tenants must pay 50% of the rent arrears claimed before they are permitted to raise these issues at the hearing.

These requirements will be further defined in regulation.
Source: Bill 60 PDF – s. 82 amendments, Schedule 12


3. “Persistent Late Payment” – New Regulatory Definition

Current RTA

  • “Persistent late payment” is a recognized ground for eviction, but:

    • The Act does not define the term.

    • The LTB decides case-by-case based on the circumstances.

Bill 60

  • Bill 60 allows the Government to create an official, uniform definition of “persistent late payment” by regulation.

  • Once enacted, the LTB will apply that definition consistently.

Source: Bill 60 PDF – Schedule 12, amendments to s. 58


4. LTB’s Discretion Under Section 83 (Eviction Relief)

Current RTA

  • Section 83 requires the Board to consider all circumstances before ordering an eviction.

  • The LTB may:

    • delay an eviction,

    • refuse an eviction,

    • consider landlord and tenant conduct,

    • balance fairness in the situation.

Bill 60

  • Section 83 remains in place, but:

    • Bill 60 grants the Government authority to create regulations limiting how the LTB may use discretion.

  • This means the factors the Board can consider may be narrowed by future regulations.

Source: Bill 60 PDF – Schedule 12, s. 83 amendments


5. Reviews of Orders & Set-Aside Applications

Relevant law: RTA s. 209

Current RTA

  • Tenants may request an LTB review of an order within approximately 30 days.

  • Set-aside applications (when a tenant did not attend the hearing) have established pathways for reopening a case.

Bill 60

  • Bill 60:

    • Reduces the timeline to request a review (15 days).

    • Allows the Government to define the conditions and criteria for:

      • requesting a review, and

      • setting aside default (ex parte) eviction orders.

Source: Bill 60 PDF – Schedule 12, amendments to s. 209, s. 77


6. Landlord’s Own Use (N12) – Notice & Compensation

Current RTA

For a landlord’s own-use termination (N12):

  • Minimum 60 days’ notice

  • Mandatory compensation: one month’s rent OR an alternative unit
    Source: RTA s. 48

Bill 60

  • Bill 60 maintains the own-use ground but modifies compensation rules.

  • Under the Bill, compensation requirements differ when landlords provide longer notice periods (e.g., 120 days).

Source: Bill 60 PDF – Schedule 12


7. Standardization of Forms & Expanded Publication of LTB Decisions

Current RTA

  • LTB forms are produced by the tribunal.

  • Published decisions follow internal policy and are not fully centralized.

Bill 60

  • The Government gains authority to:

    • set or modify official notice and application forms,

    • oversee broader publication of LTB decisions to increase transparency.

Source: Bill 60 PDF – Schedule 12, form-related amendments


Conclusion

Ontario needs rental legislation that supports balance and fairness for both tenants and landlords. A strong, stable housing system encourages investment while ensuring renters have clear protections.

For the rental market to grow, the law must motivate responsible investors to supply more homes. If the system becomes fair and predictable, more small-scale landlords will enter the market, and rental shortages can ease over time.

Importantly, life-long tenancy rules should not apply the same way to small “mom-and-pop” landlords who own three or fewer units. These owners are not large corporations—they are families, retirees, and individuals contributing vital housing supply. Treating them differently would result in thousands of additional units becoming available.

Across Ontario, there are also thousands of homeowners who do not occupy their homes year-round. With fair and balanced rules, many of these owners would confidently rent their homes to earn supplemental income—further increasing rental availability.

A modernized, fair rental system can work for everyone. The right balance will support tenants, protect small landlords, and encourage more Ontarians to open their doors—helping reduce rental shortages across the province.

 

Source: Bill 60, Fighting Delays, Building Faster Act, 2025

 


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Kingston & Surrounding Area Real Estate Market Report – October 2025

 

The Kingston region — including Kingston city, Loyalist Township, Amherstview, Napanee, Gananoque, South Frontenac, and the broader Eastern Ontario corridor toward Brockville — is experiencing one of its most transitional real estate periods in over a decade. Known for its stable government employment, student population, military presence, medical sector, and balanced lifestyle offerings, Kingston has historically avoided the extreme highs and lows of Toronto, Durham, or Peel. Yet October 2025 shows that even Kingston is now feeling the effects of higher borrowing costs, shifting buyer psychology, and increased inventory across both freehold and condo segments.

Across the province, TRREB’s GTA numbers provide context: 6,138 sales occurred in October 2025, down 9.5% year-over-year, while 16,069 new listings hit the market (a 2.7% increase). The average GTA price fell to $1,054,372, down about 7% from 2024. Although Kingston prices are much lower than the GTA, the same macro-economic pressures are influencing the region — particularly interest rates, consumer caution, inflation stabilization around 2.4%, and slower employment growth across Ontario.

The Bank of Canada rate cut to 2.25% on October 29, 2025 has provided some affordability relief, but buyers in Kingston are behaving cautiously, taking longer to make decisions, and relying heavily on conditions, appraisals, and inspections — something uncommon during the fast markets of 2020 to 2022.

Kingston’s housing market is influenced by a diverse population mix: Queen’s University students and staff, Royal Military College personnel, healthcare workers at Kingston General, public servants, and retirees relocating to Eastern Ontario. This diversity has historically stabilized Kingston even when other cities see volatility.

But October 2025’s numbers show clear cooling:

• Sales slower than last fall
• Inventory up across all price categories
• Stronger negotiation behavior
• DOM increasing significantly
• Prices adjusting slightly, but not sharply

Kingston remains more affordable than Toronto or Ottawa, which helps buffer deeper corrections. But this is the first time since pre-COVID that Kingston is widely considered a buyer-friendly market.

Kingston Region Market Snapshot – October 2025

Market performance across Kingston and its surrounding towns reveals balanced conditions influenced by affordability, property type, proximity to employment, and neighborhood desirability. Compared to GTA markets, Kingston’s price adjustments are milder, but Days on Market (DOM) increases mirror province-wide buyer hesitation.

Typical Kingston-area DOM:

• Detached homes: 35–65+ days
• Semi-detached homes: 20–40 days
• Townhouses: 25–50 days
• Condos: 30–55 days
• Rural properties (South Frontenac, Rideau Lakes): 45–90+ days

Unlike Toronto or York Region, Kingston’s average selling price remains well below $700,000 for detached homes in many neighborhoods, with townhomes often in the mid-$500s and condos between $350K and $450K. Yet despite affordability, buyers are selective.

Detached Homes in Kingston & Surrounding Areas

Detached homes dominate the Kingston landscape, particularly in neighborhoods such as Greenwood Park, Westwoods, Cataraqui North, Amherstview, and Rideau Heights. Detached homes also represent the vast majority of inventory in surrounding areas like Gananoque, Napanee, Bath, Odessa, Inverary, and Harrowsmith.

Key detached trends:

• DOM: 35–65 days, longer in rural areas
• Buyers favor updated kitchens, roofs, windows, HVAC, and good lot sizes
• Rural detached homes often require 60–90 days due to lifestyle shifts and higher carrying costs
• Price adjustments are modest — typically –3% to –6% YoY

Homes priced between $550K and $750K remain the most active, especially for families and relocators. Properties over $900K — such as lakeside homes or large custom builds — see slower activity unless aggressively priced.

Suburban neighborhoods like Bayridge, Westwoods, and Amherstview remain strong performers due to family amenities, schools, parks, and commuter routes.

Semi-Detached Homes in Kingston

Semi-detached homes offer some of the region’s best affordability, and their performance reflects that resilience. Semis in Kingston typically fall between $450K and $600K, depending on age and upgrades.

Semi-detached trends:

• DOM: 20–40 days
• Strongest demand from first-time buyers
• Best-performing areas: Kingston East (Greenwood Park), Cataraqui Woods, Amherstview
• Finished basements and updated interiors significantly reduce DOM
• Multi-generational households show increased interest in semis with secondary suites

Semis remain one of Kingston’s most stable property types in 2025.

Townhomes in Kingston

Townhomes play a major role in Kingston’s mid-range market. Freehold townhomes in new subdivisions around Kingston East, Cataraqui North, Midland Park, Grass Creek Park area, and Westbrook draw consistent interest.

Townhome behavior:

• DOM: 25–50 days
• Prices adjusting moderately
• Strong appeal among young families and first-time buyers
• Milton-like pattern: newer subdivisions outperform older complexes
• Townhomes with garages significantly outperform drive-up units

In Amherstview, Bath, and Loyalist Township, new-build townhome communities are offering incentives such as appliance packages, mortgage-rate buydowns, and flexible closing dates.

Kingston Condo Market (Downtown + West End + University Area)

Kingston’s condo market is smaller compared to major urban centers, but strategically important due to student housing demand, downsizing retirees, and healthcare employment.

Key condo areas:

• Downtown Kingston (Princess St., Ontario St.)
• Williamsville Corridor
• Portsmouth Village
• West-end condos near Gardiners Road
• University-adjacent buildings serving Queen’s students and faculty

Condo market trends:

• DOM: 30–55 days
• YoY pricing stable to mildly lower (around –3% to –5%)
• Downtown units continue to hold premium value
• Student-oriented condos show steady rental demand
• High-maintenance-fee older buildings move slower unless updated

Condos between $350K and $450K perform best. Luxury waterfront condos exceed $800K but attract a narrower downsizing demographic.

Rural & Lakeside Markets (South Frontenac, Rideau Lakes, Gananoque)

Rural and lakeside properties around Kingston are adjusting to slower movement due to:

• Higher borrowing costs
• Increased utility/maintenance costs
• Slower demand for second homes
• Remote work normalization declining slightly

Lakeside homes near Loughborough Lake, Collins Lake, Cranberry Lake, and the Rideau Canal corridor show:

• DOM often 60–120 days
• Strong long-term value due to land scarcity
• More selective buyer pool
• Higher negotiation margins

Gananoque, with its proximity to the Thousand Islands, maintains stable interest for retirement, lifestyle relocations, and tourism-related property investment.

City-by-City & Area Breakdown

Kingston (City)

Kingston remains the strongest performer in the region. Its blend of government stability, university population, and employment hubs gives it one of Ontario’s most resilient demand bases.

In-city observations:

• Detached DOM: 35–60 days
• Semis: 20–35 days
• Townhomes: 25–45 days
• Condos: 30–50 days
• Student-rental properties remain in high demand near Queen’s and St. Lawrence College

Neighborhoods like Alwington, Kingscourt, Sydenham, and Calvin Park show steady interest. Family-friendly suburbs like Westwoods, Greenwood Park, and Cataraqui North remain attractive, especially for buyers moving from GTA cities seeking affordability.

Amherstview & Loyalist Township

This region offers some of the best suburban value east of the GTA. Detached homes often move in the 35–55 day range. New subdivisions attract strong demand, and townhomes remain a top pick for buyers.

Napanee

Napanee’s market is slower due to its smaller population and more rural setting, but affordability keeps demand consistent. Detached DOM: 40–70 days.

Gananoque

Gananoque’s tourism appeal supports stable condo and freehold activity, though waterfront homes move slower and require premium pricing strategies.

South Frontenac

A major rural-living hub. Detached DOM: 50–90+ days. Larger lots attract lifestyle buyers, but interest is slower than in 2021–2022.

Brockville Corridor (east of Kingston)

Affordability draws relocators from Toronto and Ottawa. Detached homes under $550K move steadily, though activity is quieter overall.

Investor Behavior in Kingston & Region

Investors are still active because Kingston offers:

• Reliable rental demand (Queen’s, RMC, hospitals)
• Strong student housing returns
• Affordable entry points
• Increasing demand for multi-unit conversions
• High employment stability

Best investor opportunities:

• Houses near Queen’s converted to student rentals
• Duplex/triplex properties near downtown Kingston
• Affordable townhomes in Amherstview and Napanee
• Condos in Kingston West and Portsmouth Village
• Rural properties for long-term land hold strategies

Buyer Strategies for 2025–2026

Buyers in Kingston now enjoy the strongest negotiating environment since 2018. Recommendations:

• Don’t rush — compare multiple neighborhoods
• Use full conditions (inspection, financing, status certificate for condos)
• Target properties on market 45+ days for negotiation
• Consider Kingston East, Amherstview, Bath, and Odessa for value
• Look for homes with major updates to reduce future costs
• Use rate holds and lower monthly costs to your advantage

Seller Strategies for 2025–2026

For sellers, strategy is everything:

• Price accurately using the newest comparables
• Stage the home for maximum appeal
• Invest in professional photography and video tours
• Consider painting, lighting updates, and small repairs
• Provide pre-list home inspections to reduce buyer hesitation
• Review competing listings weekly

Homes that show well and are priced properly continue to sell — just not at 2021-style speeds.

Kingston Region Outlook for 2026

Kingston is expected to remain one of Ontario’s most stable housing markets through 2026 due to its employment mix, affordability, and strong rental sector. Detached homes will likely stabilize by mid-2026, while condos and townhouses will see steady demand. Rural markets may stay slower but remain attractive for long-term lifestyle buyers. As interest rates gradually fall, Kingston will likely experience a modest increase in buyer activity without returning to overheated conditions.

References

TRREB Market Watch October 2025
Toronto Condo Report-Oct 2025
Bank of Canada Rate Announcement October 2025
Statistics Canada CPI September 2025

 

 


🏡 Ready to Start Your Real Estate Journey?
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Explore a wide range of specialized listings with access to powerful tools and search portals tailored to your needs:

Stay ahead of the curve. Get the latest real estate news and insights right here.


📩 Need help navigating your options?
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Sami Chowdhury
BROKER
📧 Email: samichy@torontobase.com
🌐 Web: www.torontobased.com | www.torontobase.ca

Let’s make your next move a smart one.


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Halton Region Real Estate Market Report – October 2025

Halton Region’s housing market in October 2025 is experiencing a significant structural shift, much like the rest of the GTA, but with a distinctly Halton-style pattern. As one of the most desirable and high-performing regions in Ontario, Halton is known for its strong schools, clean and safe communities, newer housing stock, and high household incomes. For nearly a decade, Halton has been one of the GTA’s most competitive markets — especially in premium cities like Oakville and Burlington. But the October 2025 data confirms a clear trend: Halton has now fully transitioned into a balanced-to-buyer-leaning real estate environment.

The broader GTA recorded 6,138 home sales in October 2025, a 9.5% year-over-year decline, while 16,069 new listings entered the market, a 2.7% increase from 2024. The average GTA home price fell to $1,054,372, approximately 7% lower compared to last year. Halton Region mirrors these numbers but with unique variations based on city, home type, and demographic patterns. Larger and more expensive freeholds in Oakville and parts of Burlington show the most pronounced slowdown. Meanwhile, Milton and Georgetown demonstrate more affordability-driven resilience.

Interest rates also influence Halton’s performance. The Bank of Canada’s October rate cut to 2.25% has offered some relief, but cautious buyer sentiment remains strong. Inflation near 2.4%, softer economic growth, and high household expenses have contributed to longer Days on Market (DOM) and increased negotiation. Homes that once sold in under two weeks now take over a month or longer to move. Sellers must adjust expectations, while buyers finally enjoy breathing room.

Halton Region includes four main municipalities — Oakville, Burlington, Milton, and Halton Hills — each with distinct behavior patterns. Together, they paint a detailed picture of a region that remains fundamentally strong but is no longer defined by frantic bidding wars or runaway price growth.

Halton Region Market Snapshot – October 2025

Across the region, the October data reflects:

Slower sales compared to fall 2024
Higher inventory, especially in freehold segments
DOM expanding significantly across all price ranges
Moderate price adjustments in line with the GTA-wide declines
• Buyers reintroducing conditions, negotiations, and second showings
• Sellers needing strong marketing to stand out

Typical Halton DOM in October 2025:

• Detached: 45–85 days
• Semi-detached: 20–40 days
• Townhomes: 25–50 days
• Condos: 30–55 days

Halton continues to attract high-income families, professionals, and international buyers, but affordability remains a barrier for many, especially in Oakville. As a result, buyer activity has moved deeper into Milton and Georgetown, where housing remains relatively more accessible.

Detached Homes in Halton Region

Detached homes dominate Halton’s real estate landscape and show the clearest signs of a market cooldown. With higher borrowing costs and larger average home sizes, detached homes face strong affordability pressures.

Key detached trends in Halton:

• DOM: 45–85+ days depending on location
• Price adjustments aligned with GTA-wide –5% to –7% YoY range
• Homes over $2M in Oakville, Burlington, and north Halton experiencing slowest absorption
• Newer detached homes in Milton and Georgetown performing more steadily
• Fully renovated homes still attract buyers, but without bidding-war conditions

In Oakville, detached homes priced between $2M and $3.5M are seeing a noticeable slowdown. Properties in older neighborhoods with larger lots such as Morrison, Eastlake, River Oaks, and Glen Abbey often remain on the market for extended periods unless priced aggressively.

Burlington shows similar patterns, particularly in neighborhoods like Shoreacres, Roseland, and Alton Village. Buyers in Burlington are now demanding value, updated interiors, and functional layouts before committing.

Milton remains more balanced due to affordability relative to other Halton cities. Detached homes in subdivisions like Harrison, Ford, Beaty, and Clarke show steady but slower turnover.

Georgetown and Acton attract families seeking more space at an accessible price point. Detached homes here still move, but slower than in previous years, with typical DOM around 40–70 days.

Semi-Detached Homes in Halton Region

Semi-detached homes remain one of Halton’s most consistent and resilient market segments. These properties offer a middle ground between affordability and space, making them popular among young families and first-time homebuyers.

Semi-detached behavior:

• DOM: 20–40 days
• Price adjustments mild relative to detached homes
• Strongest demand in Milton and Georgetown
• More limited supply in Oakville and Burlington supports stability

Milton’s semis — particularly in Clarke, Dempsey, and Beaty — continue to attract consistent activity due to affordability and transit access. Georgetown semis in areas like Trafalgar Country, Stewart MacLaren, and Georgetown South remain in demand as well.

Semis in Oakville and Burlington are scarce due to older zoning patterns, which contributes to faster absorption for well-priced listings.

Townhomes in Halton Region

Townhomes provide Halton’s most balanced blend of affordability, space, and location. Both freehold and condo townhomes remain popular in all Halton cities.

Townhome trends:

• DOM: 25–50 days
• Price adjustments moderate
• Fastest absorption in Oakville’s newer communities and Milton’s family zones
• Strong investor interest in Milton townhomes due to rental stability

Oakville’s three-story freehold towns in River Oaks, Glenorchy, and West Oak Trails continue to attract strong attention. Burlington’s townhomes in Alton Village, Tansley, and Brant Hills perform consistently due to good schools and family amenities.

Milton remains the region’s townhome powerhouse. Freehold townhomes in Willmott, Harrison, Coates, and Clarke show some of the strongest family demand in all of Halton.

Georgetown’s townhomes near the GO Station and Trafalgar corridor also see healthy interest.

Condo Market in Halton Region

Though historically freehold-dominated, Halton’s condo sector has grown rapidly, especially in Milton and Oakville. Condos appeal to first-time buyers, downsizers, and investors.

Condo trends:

• DOM: 30–55 days
• Price adjustments: generally –4% to –6% YoY
• Newer Oakville mid-rise buildings performing well
• High absorption around Glenorchy and Midtown Oakville
• Milton condos seeing consistent first-time buyer activity

Oakville’s Lakeshore West condos continue to draw downsizers, though at a slower pace than peak years. Milton’s condo market remains one of the GTA’s most stable entry-level segments.

Halton Region City-by-City Breakdown

Oakville

Oakville remains Halton’s premium market, but October 2025 highlights reduced buyer urgency. Detached homes often require 60–90 days to sell unless well-priced. Townhomes and condos show better balance. Neighborhoods such as Glen Abbey, West Oak Trails, Uptown Core, and Kerr Village continue to attract steady interest.

Burlington

Burlington shows similar patterns as Oakville but with slightly stronger demand in mid-priced detached homes. The $1.2M–$1.6M range remains active, while higher price points slow. Condos along the Lakeshore remain desirable but are no longer seeing immediate offers.

Milton

Milton remains one of the strongest-performing markets in Halton. Semi-detached, townhomes, and entry-level detached homes continue steady activity. Milton’s affordability, newer neighborhoods, and family amenities keep demand resilient, though conditions remain balanced.

Halton Hills (Georgetown & Acton)

Georgetown shows balanced activity with typical DOM between 35–60 days for freeholds. Acton offers strong affordability and consistent demand in the sub-$1M range. Detached homes require competitive pricing to attract buyers.

Investor Behavior in Halton Region

Investors are increasingly focused on:

• Townhomes in Milton and Georgetown
• Oakville condos with rental upside
• Freeholds with legal basement potential
• Newer-build properties with energy efficiency
• Areas with proximity to GO Transit, Hwy 401, and QEW

Assignment activity has slowed across Halton, but interest persists in select Oakville and Milton developments.

Buyer Strategies for 2025–2026

Buyers should embrace today’s balanced-to-buyer-friendly environment:

• Negotiate confidently — conditions are common again
• Explore stale listings for value
• Look at up-and-coming pockets in Milton and Georgetown
• Compare freeholds to townhomes to optimize affordability
• Use lender rate holds to protect against short-term uncertainty

Milton and Georgetown remain the most realistic entry points for first-time buyers.

Seller Strategies for 2025–2026

Sellers must adjust to a slower market:

• Price accurately based on true 2025 comparables
• Stage the property to maximize visual impact
• Invest in high-quality marketing, including video and social campaigns
• Consider offering flexibility on closing
• Refresh paint, lighting, and small repairs to increase appeal

In Halton, presentation and pricing accuracy define success.

Halton Region Outlook for 2026

Halton’s long-term outlook remains strong due to luxury appeal (Oakville & Burlington), family value (Milton), and suburban growth potential (Georgetown). As interest rates gradually decline through 2026, Halton will likely see stronger buyer participation, especially in townhomes, semis, and entry-level detached homes. Luxury markets will recover more slowly but are expected to stabilize by late 2026 or early 2027.

References

 


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Durham Region Real Estate Market Report – October 2025

Durham Region’s real estate market in October 2025 reflects one of the most dynamic shifts across the entire Greater Toronto Area. Long regarded as the GTA’s most affordable major region, Durham has seen immense demand growth over the past decade due to population expansion, value-driven buyers, and improving transit access. Today, however, Durham is experiencing the same buyer-leaning balance seen across Toronto, Mississauga, Brampton, and York Region — but with its own unique affordability-driven behavior.

According to the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB), the broader GTA recorded 6,138 home sales in October 2025, marking a 9.5% decline from the same month last year. New listings climbed to 16,069, a 2.7% increase year-over-year, and the average GTA selling price fell to $1,054,372, down about 7% from 2024. Durham Region, sitting at the more affordable end of the GTA price spectrum, is feeling similar cooling pressure, though demand remains stronger than in higher-priced markets because of its accessibility for first-time buyers and commuters.

Durham’s local market numbers show a clear moderation. Inventory has increased across all cities, sales have slowed compared to last year, and typical Days on Market (DOM) have broadened noticeably. Compared to York, Peel, or Toronto, Durham remains the region where buyers find the most financial flexibility — but higher borrowing costs have softened activity. The Bank of Canada’s October 29 rate cut to 2.25% has provided some relief, yet buyers are still cautious, selective, and ready to negotiate more aggressively. Inflation around 2.4% and slower economic growth limit the return of high-velocity buying.

Durham is composed of several highly distinct cities and towns, including Oshawa, Whitby, Ajax, Pickering, Clarington, Uxbridge, Brock, and Scugog. Each area has its own micro-market conditions shaped by affordability, transit access, employment nodes, housing stock age, and new construction pipelines. What unifies the region is the shift away from overheated seller conditions and toward a calm, patient, negotiation-friendly market.

Durham Region Market Snapshot – October 2025

Durham’s housing activity across October 2025 shows that:

• Sales are slower relative to 2024
• Inventory is up across nearly all segments
• Buyers are no longer rushing into offers
• DOM has stretched to a range of 30–70+ days depending on home type
• Detached homes, which make up the bulk of Durham inventory, show the steepest adjustments
• Semis, towns, and entry-level homes remain the region’s strongest performers
• Condos, though a smaller segment, are showing steady but moderated absorption

Durham remains more affordable than York, Halton, or Toronto, which stabilizes demand and prevents deep corrections. But affordability alone is not enough to overcome interest-rate pressure, and that is reflected in Durham’s current pace of sales and broader inventory levels.

Detached Homes in Durham Region

Detached homes represent a large portion of Durham’s housing, especially in Oshawa, Clarington, Whitby, and Pickering. This segment is particularly interest-rate-sensitive due to mortgage size and renovation costs.

Detached home trends across Durham include:

• DOM: 40–75 days
• Price adjustments consistent with GTA’s –5% to –7% YoY range
• Higher inventory, especially in newer subdivisions
• Large two-story detached homes built between 2005 and 2015 showing slower absorption
• Stronger demand for updated, move-in-ready detached homes under $1M

Oshawa, being Durham’s most affordable major city, shows the strongest buyer interest for detached properties. Clarington continues to attract families seeking value and larger lots, but like the rest of the region, DOM is extended. Whitby and Pickering — historically higher-priced — are seeing buyers push harder on negotiation.

Detached homes requiring substantial renovations or upgrades often sit much longer as buyers avoid additional financial burden during a high-cost borrowing environment. Newer detached homes offering finished basements, income potential, and energy-efficient upgrades continue to outperform.

Semi-Detached Homes in Durham Region

Semi-detached homes are among Durham’s most resilient categories. They appeal strongly to first-time homebuyers and families looking for affordability without sacrificing space. These homes tend to sell faster relative to detached inventory.

Typical semi-detached metrics across Durham:

• DOM: 20–40 days
• Stable pricing aligned with moderate GTA shifts
• Strongest demand in Oshawa, Whitby, and Ajax
• Premium performance for semis with finished basements or rental potential

Semis in communities like Whitby Shores, North Ajax, East Oshawa, and Brooklin enjoy consistent buyer interest. Durham’s semi-detached segment benefits from being one of the few remaining affordable freehold options with access to the 401, 407, and GO Transit.

Townhomes in Durham Region

Townhomes — both freehold and condo-managed — remain a popular mid-range choice for families across Durham Region. With detached homes becoming harder to afford, the townhome segment is attracting sustained attention.

Townhome performance in October 2025:

• DOM: 25–50 days
• Prices adjusting modestly
• Higher turnover in new subdivisions in Oshawa, Clarington, and Courtice
• Towns in Ajax and Pickering remain premium-priced but more negotiable than in previous years

Freehold towns along Taunton Road, Harmony Road, Conlin Road, and the Bowmanville/Clarington corridor consistently outperform in terms of showings and offers. Townhomes with attached garages, larger layouts, and finished basements see the strongest interest.

Condo Market in Durham Region

Durham’s condo market is significantly smaller than Toronto, Mississauga, or Vaughan, but it plays an increasingly important role for affordability. Condo communities in Pickering, Ajax, Whitby, and Oshawa provide entry-level homeownership paths for first-time buyers.

Condo market patterns include:

• DOM: 30–55 days
• YoY price adjustments modest (consistent with GTA’s 4–6% condo easing)
• Strong rental demand continues due to population growth
• High investor presence in certain newer Pickering/Oshawa developments

Pickering’s condo market benefits from its proximity to Toronto and the 401, with many young professionals seeking more space for lower costs. Downtown Oshawa also maintains steady demand due to its growing student population and transit access.

Durham Region City-by-City Breakdown

Oshawa

Oshawa remains the most affordable major city in the GTA and continues to show the strongest demand in Durham. Detached and semi-detached properties priced under $900K receive consistent showings, though DOM still ranges 35–65 days. Newer developments in North Oshawa along Simcoe and Harmony offer modern homes with competitive pricing.

Whitby

Whitby shows a more balanced market, with detached homes experiencing longer absorption times and townhomes performing steadily. Semis remain one of Whitby's best-performing segments. Brooklin and Whitby Shores continue to be among the city’s most attractive communities.

Ajax

Ajax remains desirable due to its location, waterfront, and strong community amenities. Townhomes and semis are stable performers. Detached homes show slower turnover, especially at higher price points. Buyers are comparing Ajax closely with more affordable Oshawa options.

Pickering

Pickering sees moderate activity in both freehold and condo segments. Areas near Frenchman’s Bay, Liverpool Road, and Brock Road maintain interest. Condos near the Pickering GO and Highway 401 continue to see balanced demand from commuters.

Clarington

Clarington attracts families seeking more space at a lower cost. Detached and townhome markets remain healthier relative to Durham’s costlier cities. Bowmanville and Courtice show steady activity. DOM: roughly 35–60 days.

Uxbridge, Scugog, Brock

These northern municipalities present slower markets due to rural location and higher price gaps. DOM can exceed 70 days for larger properties. Townhomes and smaller detached homes move more predictably.

Investor Behavior in Durham Region

Durham is one of the most attractive regions for investors due to affordability, strong rental demand, and population growth. Investor priorities include:

• Freehold townhomes in Oshawa and Clarington
• Semi-detached homes with legal basement potential
• Condos in Pickering and Oshawa with strong rent-to-price ratios
• Properties close to transit and post-secondary institutions

Investors remain more careful with cash flow due to interest rates but recognize Durham’s long-term upside.

Buyer Strategies for 2025–2026

Buyers benefit greatly from the current Durham environment. Recommended strategies include:

• Negotiate confidently; Durham sellers have more flexibility
• Take advantage of longer DOM for inspection and financing conditions
• Explore “stale” listings (45–90+ days) for the best opportunities
• Consider value pockets in North Oshawa, Clarington, and Courtice
• Compare freeholds vs. townhomes to determine best affordability path

Durham is one of the few GTA regions where buyers can still find freeholds below the $1M mark.

Seller Strategies for 2025–2026

Sellers must adjust to the cooling conditions:

• Price realistically based on 2025 trends, not previous peaks
• Stage the home for maximum impact
• Invest in professional photography and marketing
• Monitor competing listings every week
• Complete key repairs before listing to reduce buyer hesitation

Durham’s best-performing sellers are the ones who identify buyer expectations early.

Durham Region Outlook for 2026

Durham is expected to perform steadily in 2026 as interest rates gradually decline. Townhomes and semis will continue to be strong performers, and detached homes will normalize as buyers adjust to new borrowing conditions. Long-term fundamentals — transit expansion, affordability, and population growth — keep Durham among the GTA’s most promising regions for sustained real estate activity.

References

TRREB Market Watch October 2025
VIP Condos Toronto October 2025 Summary
Condopundit GTA Market Commentary October 2025
Wealth Professional GTA Housing Update 2025
Bank of Canada Rate Announcement October 2025
Statistics Canada CPI September 2025

References

 


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York Region Real Estate Market Report – October 2025

 York Region’s real estate market in October 2025 is undergoing one of the most meaningful transitions in the GTA. Long known for its top schools, newer housing stock, family-oriented neighborhoods, and strong immigration-driven demand, the region is now operating in a buyer-leaning balanced market. The shift is not dramatic or chaotic, but measured, steady, and shaped by more rational buyer behavior against a backdrop of higher inventory and longer days on market.

Across the GTA, TRREB reported 6,138 home sales in October, down 9.5% year-over-year, with 16,069 new listings entering the market, a 2.7% increase. The average GTA selling price dropped to $1,054,372, roughly 7% lower than last year. Buyers have more choice, more time, and more negotiation leverage than at any point since before the pandemic surge. York Region mirrors these trends, but the impact is amplified due to its higher price points and heavy concentration of freehold homes.

More importantly, York Region–specific data confirms the shift. According to market summaries released in November:

3,027 new listings entered the York Region market in October
• Active listings reached 5,486 homes
• Months of Inventory (MOI) climbed to 5.1 months, up from 4.9 the month before
• Sales slowed more noticeably in luxury-oriented neighborhoods
• DOM stretched across all home types, especially detached

These numbers paint a clear picture: York Region is now firmly in balanced-to-slow market territory, and for the first time in years, buyers have structural bargaining power.

The Bank of Canada’s October 29, 2025 rate cut, lowering the overnight rate to 2.25%, has improved affordability on paper, but sentiment remains cautious. Buyers are not rushing; they’re evaluating, comparing, negotiating, and waiting for value. Inflation remains around 2.4%, economic growth is soft, and employment stability varies across sectors. All of this affects higher-priced regions more intensely, and York Region sits at the top end of GTA prices.

York Region Market Snapshot With Stats

York Region’s market dynamics speak clearly through numbers. Inventory is elevated, sales are slower, and buyers have regained time and choice.

New listings: 3,027
Active listings: 5,486
Months of Inventory: 5.1 (approaching a mild buyer’s market)
Typical Days on Market:
• Detached: 45–80+ days
• Semi-detached: 20–40 days
• Townhomes: 25–50 days
• Condos: 30–55 days

These numbers make York Region one of the slowest-moving large regions in the GTA right now. Higher carrying costs and larger home sizes translate into more cautious buyer behavior.

While the region is not experiencing steep price collapses, the momentum of the market has clearly cooled. The urgency, bidding wars, and unconditional offers of 2020–2022 are gone. Sellers must be competitive, flexible, and data-driven.

Detached Homes in York Region (With Stats)

Detached homes dominate York Region’s housing supply and also show the deepest cooling. Detached homes face the highest mortgage payments, making them the most sensitive to rate changes.

Typical detached performance:

• DOM: 45–80 days
• Price adjustments: generally aligned with GTA’s –5% to –7% YoY range
• Luxury homes over $2.5M: extended DOM often 90+ days
• Listings in Markham, Richmond Hill, Vaughan, and King: significantly higher than last year

Richmond Hill alone recorded 175 detached and low-rise sales in October, representing $233.4 million in transaction value, with average prices hovering near $1.33M. Even at this price level, buyers are negotiating more aggressively, especially for homes requiring upgrades or energy-efficiency improvements.

Markham’s detached segment continues to attract steady interest due to schools and transit, but even here, DOM is materially longer. Vaughan detached properties, particularly in Vellore Village, Maple, and Patterson, remain popular but slower to absorb. Aurora and Newmarket are somewhat more balanced due to mid-range pricing, though detached homes still sit longer than they did in 2021–2022.

Renovated detached homes outperform the market significantly. Homes with modern kitchens, updated roofs, energy-efficient systems, and finished basements sell faster and closer to asking price.

Semi-Detached Homes in York Region (With Stats)

Semi-detached homes remain one of the strongest-performing freehold segments. They offer space, affordability relative to detached homes, and strong appeal for families wanting to stay within York Region’s school districts.

Typical semi-detached stats:

• DOM: 20–40 days
• YoY pricing: relatively stable compared to detached
• Best-performing areas: Markham (Cornell, Box Grove, Greensborough), Vaughan (Sonoma Heights, Maple), Richmond Hill (Jefferson, Bayview Hill)

Semis with finished basements and income potential continue to outperform the segment average. Multi-generational families remain key drivers of demand in Markham and Richmond Hill, stabilizing this segment even during slower market cycles.

Townhomes in York Region (With Stats)

Townhomes offer a key balance between affordability and square footage. They remain one of the most resilient market segments in York Region.

Townhome performance:

• DOM: 25–50 days
• YoY pricing: aligns with GTA’s mild adjustments
• Higher competition in newer complexes (post-2010 builds)
• Family-focused demand strongest in Markham, Vaughan, Richmond Hill, and Stouffville

Townhomes near GO stations, Highway 404/407 access points, and strong school zones continue to hold value. Townhomes in Cornell and Wismer (Markham), Patterson and Thornhill Woods (Vaughan), and Stonehaven (Newmarket) attract consistent buyer interest even in slower months.

York Region Condo Market (With Stats)

Although condos represent a smaller share of York Region inventory, their role is expanding. Condos serve first-time buyers, downsizers, and investors seeking long-term stability.

Typical condo stats:

• DOM: 30–55 days
• YoY condo price movement: –4% to –6%, aligned with regional patterns
• Inventory increased in high-density areas: VMC, Markham City Centre, Richmond Hill Yonge Corridor
• Rental demand remains strong, supporting investor interest

The Vaughan Metropolitan Centre (VMC) remains one of the most active condo hubs despite slower absorption. Its appeal lies in subway access (TTC Line 1 extension), GO station proximity, major highways, and commercial growth. Investor-heavy buildings built from 2018–2023 are experiencing slower resale activity and increased negotiation margins.

Markham’s condo market, particularly around Warden & Highway 7, remains steady due to local tech and biomedical employment centers. Richmond Hill’s Yonge corridor shows slower but stable absorption, especially for two-bedroom units.

City-by-City Breakdown With Local Stats

Markham

Markham remains one of the GTA’s most desirable suburban cities. Detached DOM ranges from 40–70 days, semis from 20–35 days, and townhomes from 25–45 days. The condo market near Downtown Markham and Unionville remains competitive with DOM around 30–55 days. Strong school zones and tech-sector employment continue to support demand.

Richmond Hill

Richmond Hill shows one of York Region’s slowest detached absorptions. Luxury homes often sit 60–90+ days. Townhomes and semis remain stable in areas like Jefferson and Bayview/Elgin Mills. Condos along the Yonge corridor show moderate activity.

Vaughan

Vaughan demonstrates wide variability. Detached homes in Vellore Village and Maple may sit 50–75 days, while townhomes in Thornhill Woods or Patterson perform steadily. Condos in VMC show longer DOM due to increased inventory and investor concentration.

Newmarket

Newmarket benefits from relative affordability. Detached DOM sits around 35–60 days, with townhomes moving faster. Condos near Davis Drive and Yonge Street show balanced trends and attract first-time buyers.

Aurora

Aurora remains balanced. Detached DOM hovers around 40–65 days. Townhomes continue to attract families due to strong schools, newer builds, and proximity to transit.

King

King remains luxury-dominated with extended DOM for estate properties often exceeding 90 days. Homes require highly competitive pricing and targeted marketing to attract qualified buyers.

East Gwillimbury

East Gwillimbury sees steady demand from families seeking value. Detached DOM ranges between 40–65 days, and newer subdivisions perform better than older ones.

Georgina

Georgina remains one of the most affordable pockets of York Region. Price adjustments are milder, and buyers focused on price-per-square-foot continue to target Keswick and Sutton for value.

Whitchurch–Stouffville

Townhomes and semis remain strong performers. Detached homes show longer DOM, particularly in older subdivisions. Newer developments near Highway 48 and Tenth Line continue to attract families.

Investor Trends in York Region

Investors now focus on:

• Townhomes near transit hubs
• Semis with income potential
• Condos with low fees in VMC, Markham, and Richmond Hill
• Freeholds in high-immigrant-demand neighborhoods
• Two-bedroom condos for rental stability

Assignments exist but move selectively in VMC, Markham City Centre, and Stouffville.

Buyer Strategies (2025–2026)

Buyers now enjoy leverage unseen since 2018. Strategies include:

• Negotiating price reductions
• Using inspection and financing conditions
• Requesting repairs or closing credits
• Comparing multiple homes across multiple cities
• Targeting stale listings (45–90+ days) for best deals

Seller Strategies (2025–2026)

Sellers must embrace the new reality:

• Price homes according to 2025 conditions
• Use professional staging, photography, and video
• Review competing listings weekly
• Offer flexible closing dates
• Complete cosmetic upgrades for stronger showing

Underpricing strategically may be advantageous in slower markets.

York Region Outlook for 2026

York Region is projected to stabilize through 2026 as rate cuts gradually revive demand. Detached homes may recover more slowly, while semis, townhomes, and transit-oriented condos will likely experience stronger early momentum. Long-term fundamentals remain exceptionally strong due to employment centers, transit expansions, top schools, and rapid immigration.

References

 


🏡 Ready to Start Your Real Estate Journey?
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📈 Looking to capitalize on today’s changing market?
Explore a wide range of specialized listings with access to powerful tools and search portals tailored to your needs:

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📧 Email: samichy@torontobase.com
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